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Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR)

  • Rachel Reeves: We are looking at tax hikes 

    October 15, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves has revealed the government is considering making tax hikes at this year’s Budget, the first time she has made the admission in public.   In an interview with Sky News, Reeves admitted that the government was considering raising tax and cutting spending to fill a fiscal hole.  The Chancellor said she would “always [...]

  • State pension set to rise by more than expected in blow to Reeves

    October 14, 2025

    The state pension is set to rise by more than previously expected after the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revised up its figures on wage growth for July, piling extra costs on public finances for Chancellor Rachel Reeves at this year’s Budget. The ONS revised up its wage growth figure for July from 4.7 per [...]

  • Reeves considers tax breaks for startups in effort to preserve headroom 

    October 13, 2025

    Reports have suggested that Rachel Reeves is considering offering entrepreneurs new tax reliefs as she tries to stimulate growth in the economy and unlock productivity. As part of an effort to limit the damage to the current headroom of £9.9bn due to productivity downgrades by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), Reeves is reportedly discussing [...]

  • Rachel Reeves urged to levy one-off wealth tax

    October 13, 2025

    Researchers say Rachel Reeves should introduce a one-off wealth tax to avoid the “direct disincentive” of an annual levy. But the Chancellor risks wreaking havoc on the UK economy unless she breaks Labour manifesto commitments and introduces vast reforms to the wider tax system, according to a report by the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS). [...]

  • OBR risks being ‘unreasonably pessimistic’ as Reeves set to be given leeway

    October 10, 2025

    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) risks being “unreasonably pessimistic” if it decides to downgrade productivity growth trends by more than 0.1 percentage point, fresh analysis has indicated, in what could hand Chancellor Rachel Reeves some extra leeway at this year’s Budget.  The fiscal watchdog is widely expected to downgrade productivity forecasts as part of [...]

  • Labour ministers ordered to stop relying on emergency funds 

    October 9, 2025

    Labour ministers have been told they will be blocked from using the government’s reserve funds to pay public sector staff and will only be given cash in exceptional circumstances.  James Murray, the chief secretary to the Treasury, has told colleagues across the Cabinet that access to rainy day funds will be limited as the government [...]

  • Labour considers relaxing global talent visa in answer to Trump’s clampdown

    September 22, 2025

    A UK government task force is considering plans to remove fee costs for the global talent visa after the US slapped a $100,000 charge on one of its key worker visas.  On Friday night, President Trump put hundreds of thousands of workers on high alert after he signed an executive order adding a hefty business [...]

  • OBR ‘downgrades productivity’ in major pre-Budget blow to Rachel Reeves

    September 16, 2025

    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has reportedly told Chancellor Rachel Reeves that it will downgrade productivity forecasts for the UK economy, blowing a hole in the public finances and making tax hikes all but guaranteed at this year’s November Budget.  In another setback for the Labour government, the OBR has informed the Treasury that [...]

  • Goldman Sachs: Tax increases will not improve public finances

    September 10, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves has been warned by a leading Wall Street bank that hiking taxes later this year will not improve the state of public finances.  Reeves is widely expected to raise taxes by at least £20bn at this year’s Autumn Budget, with property owners, gambling companies and pension pots likely to be hit with [...]

  • Labour deputy leader hopeful slams Rachel Reeves’ ‘excessive deference’ to OBR

    September 8, 2025

    The prominent backbencher and former transport secretary Louise Haigh, who is a frontrunner to become the deputy leader of the Labour Party, has taken aim at Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ “excessive deference” to the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) and adhering to “arbitrary fiscal targets”. Senior officials in the Labour Party are set to agree on [...]

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