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Inflation

  • Bank of England: Interest rate hike predictions cool as trader sentiment resets

    April 8, 2026

    Fears of several interest rate hikes being made have eased as traders raved at the news of a ceasefire in the Middle East.  Markets are now pricing in just one interest rate hike as the two-year gilt yield dropped to 4.1 per cent.  The current interest rate is set at 3.75 per cent by the [...]

  • Stagflation to batter UK economy as growth grinds to halt

    April 7, 2026

    The UK economy is set to suffer from stagflation over the coming months as growth across the services sector ground to a halt in March, researchers have indicated.  The war in the Middle East has brought output growth to its slowest level since last April while input price inflation hit its highest level since the [...]

  • Jamie Dimon eyes high interest rates, uneven lending and IPO dearth in JP Morgan shareholder letter

    April 6, 2026

    One of the biggest names in global banking issued a stark warning about global political uncertainty and the potential threat of higher asset prices on Monday, while pointing to the faltering pipeline for company flotations. Jamie Dimon, the chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, added his voice to a debate raging in world financial centres on [...]

  • Bank of England: Businesses sharply raise inflation expectations 

    April 2, 2026

    Businesses’ inflation expectations shot up in March according to a closely-watched Bank of England survey, as bosses braced for a surge in energy costs as a result of the Iran war. The Banks’ decision makers’ panel, a monthly poll of thousands of execs, found that the average expected inflation rate in the next year was [...]

  • Once again Starmer addresses the nation – with nothing to say

    April 2, 2026

    The Prime Minister held a press conference yesterday to update us all on the Iran war and to confirm that we’re still not in it. That’s Keir Starmer’s most valued line these days; that this isn’t our war and we’re not involved. However, despite our declared neutrality, Starmer had to concede that “the impact of [...]

  • Supermarket bosses meet Rachel Reeves amid dire food inflation warning

    April 1, 2026

    The bosses of some of the UK’s biggest supermarkets met Chancellor Rachel Reeves in emergency cost of living talks on Wednesday, amid warnings that food inflation could rise to double digits this year. Leading supermarkets including Tesco, Sainsbury’s and Morrisons attended Downing Street after efforts to gather industry bosses last week were abandoned amid concerns [...]

  • Costs up, demand down: Manufacturers suffer biggest squeeze since 2022

    April 1, 2026

    Costs for the UK’s manufacturing sector have risen at the fastest pace in three and a half years, new data has indicated, as the energy price shock from the Iran war hammers businesses.  S&P Global research has found that manufacturers suffered the highest increase in input prices since late 2022 when Russia’s invasion of Ukraine [...]

  • ‘Unprecedented’ – Food inflation to soar to 9 per cent by end of year

    April 1, 2026

    Food inflation will soar from three to nine per cent by the end of this year due to the “unprecedented” energy and supply chain shocks caused by the Iran war, a leading association has warned. The rate of food price growth is currently at 3.3 per cent but will climb to nine per cent by [...]

  • Reeves must listen to supermarkets rather than lecture them

    April 1, 2026

    Supermarkets begin preparing for Christmas at least six months before the anticipated peak of customer demand hits around December 23. Catering for this entirely predictable surge is in itself an astonishing commercial and logistical feat, but a little over six years ago the UK’s supermarkets were in the midst of an unprecedented challenge. As pandemic [...]

  • Andy Haldane: My mission to ignite Britain’s animal spirits

    March 31, 2026

    As the Bank of England’s chief economist, Andy Haldane had a front row seat to the maladies of UK’s sluggish economy. After a four-year stint running the RSA, he is back as president of the British Chambers of Commerce, and tells Ali Lyon business is still taxed mindlessly, over regulated, and far too risk averse. [...]

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