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Inflation

  • IMF slashes UK growth forecast as tariffs create ‘significant slowdown’

    April 22, 2025

    The IMF has downgraded its UK growth forecast by 0.5 per cent this year as President Donald Trump’s trade war brings global tariff rates to “centennial highs”.  The IMF said the UK economy would grow by 1.1 per cent growth this year, reflecting leading forecasters’ worries about the ongoing global trade war between US and [...]

  • Reeves’ tax rise to push up inflation, BoE’s Megan Greene warns

    April 22, 2025

    Rachel Reeves’ national insurance tax rise will push up inflation and lead to a “shake-up” of the labour market, Bank of England rate-setter Megan Greene has warned. In an interview with Bloomberg Television, Greene said she was particularly concerned about “weakness in output” for the best part of a year as she suggested Reeves’ tax [...]

  • Sainsbury’s warns on growth as trolley wars heat up

    April 17, 2025

    Sainsbury’s has said it expects no profit growth in the next year as competition in the grocery market intensifies. The supermarket giant reported retail underlying operating profit of £1.036bn in the 52 weeks ended March 1, up 7.2 per cent from £966m last year. It said double-digit growth at its Sainsbury’s retail arm was partially [...]

  • House prices flat but ‘only a matter of time’ before market acceleration

    April 16, 2025

    House prices were unchanged in February, but market experts have said prices will rise later in the year as mortgage rates fall. The average UK house price remained at £268,000 in February, flat month on month but up 5.4 per cent year on year, according to the ONS. Growth was driven by higher prices in [...]

  • Inflation eases in March amid looming Bank decision

    April 16, 2025

    Inflation remained stubbornly high at 2.6 per cent in March, official data has shown, leaving Bank of England policymakers with a difficult decision to make on interest rates early next month.  The year-on-year increase in consumer price inflation (CPI) was lower than the 2.7 per cent figure forecast in a Bloomberg poll of economists.  The [...]

  • Bank of England should be ‘more careful’ about rate cuts, say deputy governor

    April 10, 2025

    A Bank of England rate-setter has said that policymakers need to be “more careful” about cutting rates after years of high inflation, adding that it was “too soon to say” whether President Trump’s tariffs will weigh on price growth in the UK.  Sarah Breeden became the second official since Trump’s Rose Garden speech to take [...]

  • ‘Awful April’ price hikes will cause ‘inflation surge’

    April 1, 2025

    Sweeping price hikes coming into effect from Tuesday are set to push up inflation, a leading economics consultancy has said, as what many have called ‘Awful April’ is set to put an extra burden on businesses’ costs. Higher costs in everything from water to energy will contribute to a rise in inflation that peaks at [...]

  • Higher chocolate prices push up grocery prices in March

    April 1, 2025

    According to the latest data from market research company Kantar, higher prices for premium products pushed grocery prices up in March despite discounts on everyday items. Grocery price inflation rose slightly to 3.5 per cent over the four weeks to March 23 compared with a year ago. “With prices continuing to rise, supermarkets are mindful [...]

  • UK inflation undershoots expectations in February

    March 26, 2025

    Inflation hit 2.8 per cent in the year to February, pointing to a fragile UK economy as Chancellor Rachel Reeves prepares to deliver her Spring Statement this afternoon. The Bank of England last week held interest rates at 4.5 per cent as inflation has remained high amid escalating trade tensions and incoming tax rises. Now [...]

  • Add growth to Bank of England’s remit, Treasury told

    March 24, 2025

    The Treasury has been urged to change the Bank of England’s remit to include growth after a new paper by the Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA) said a focus on nominal GDP would lead to “more stable” policymaking.  The Bank is mandated to hit an inflation target of two per cent and sets interest rates [...]

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