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Huw Pill

  • Bank of England to cut interest rates but faces dilemma on outlook

    August 4, 2025

    The Bank of England is unlikely to signal faster interest rate cuts at this Thursday’s meeting, leading economists have said, leaving the future of monetary policy in the balance.  Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members are widely expected to agree to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to four per cent.  But City analysts have [...]

  • Bank of England officials set to clash on interest rates

    July 30, 2025

    Bank of England policymakers are set to spar on whether to hold or cut interest rates as City analysts are expecting a three-way split in the final vote.  The Bank saw a 6-3 vote in favour of holding interest rates at 4.25 per cent in June while the meeting before in May saw four dissenting [...]

  • UBS creates AI tool to monitor interest rate cuts  

    May 21, 2025

    UBS has created an AI model that takes a view on central bank’s hawks and doves when interest rates are set in a bid to cut through the noise of hard-to-read press conferences.  In a new policy paper spanning 38 pages, the Swiss bank revealed that its new tool is adept at “measuring the tone [...]

  • Interest rate cuts need to slow down to curb inflation, says Huw Pill 

    May 20, 2025

    Interest rate cuts are fuelling inflation and need to slow down, the Bank of England’s chief economist Huw Pill has warned ahead of the release of fresh data set to show a jump in price growth in April.  The Bank‘s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted by a slim majority to cut interest rates to 4.25 [...]

  • Interest rate cut hopes fade after Bank of England decision

    May 8, 2025

    City investors have lowered expectations of multiple interest rate cuts later in the year after the Bank of England decided to reduce rates to 4.25 per cent.  Prior to the Bank’s decision on Thursday at 12.02 pm, markets priced in around three more cuts this year in predictions that would take interest rates to 3.5 [...]

  • Stats body aims to publish key jobs data in late 2026

    April 10, 2025

    The UK’s official statistics body has set a target of November 2026 for the reform of its flagship Labour Force Survey (LFS), which monitors the UK jobs market. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has been dogged by several troubles in data gathering, prompting criticism from the Bank of England as well as an intervention [...]

  • Bank of England warns ‘age of uncertainty’ stopping rapid rate cuts

    March 5, 2025

    An “age of uncertainty”, especially over the path of inflation, means that rapid interest rate cuts are unlikely to be coming to the UK, top Bank of England officials have said. Huw Pill, chief economist at the Bank of England, said the central bank was unlikely to make “larger and more rapid cuts to interest [...]

  • Labour survey failing because Brits don’t answer phones anymore, Bank official says

    November 26, 2024

    The Bank of England’s chief economist has warned that improving official statistics might prove to be a “formidable” challenge due a distinctively British characteristic. For months policymakers have struggled with unreliable data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), which has made it very difficult to get a clear picture of the UK’s labour market. [...]

  • Bank of England’s Pill backs ‘gradual’ interest rate cuts despite ‘sticky’ pay growth

    November 12, 2024

    Pointing to the pay figures from this morning, Pill said wage pressures remain "quite sticky".

  • Bank of England’s Huw Pill: ‘Ample reason for caution’ on interest rates

    October 4, 2024

    Huw Pill, chief economist at the Bank of England, called for a “gradual” approach to cutting interest rates, citing continued concerns about the potential upside risks to the inflationary outlook. In a speech this morning Pill said there was “ample reason for caution” when assessing the dissipation of inflationary persistence. “While further cuts in Bank [...]

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