UBS creates AI tool to monitor interest rate cuts Banking UBS has created an AI model that takes a view on central bank’s hawks and doves when interest rates are set in a bid to cut through the noise of hard-to-read press conferences. In a new policy paper spanning 38 pages, the Swiss bank revealed that its new tool is adept at “measuring the tone [...]
Interest rate cuts need to slow down to curb inflation, says Huw Pill Economics Interest rate cuts are fuelling inflation and need to slow down, the Bank of England’s chief economist Huw Pill has warned ahead of the release of fresh data set to show a jump in price growth in April. The Bank‘s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted by a slim majority to cut interest rates to 4.25 [...]
Interest rate cut hopes fade after Bank of England decision Economics City investors have lowered expectations of multiple interest rate cuts later in the year after the Bank of England decided to reduce rates to 4.25 per cent. Prior to the Bank’s decision on Thursday at 12.02 pm, markets priced in around three more cuts this year in predictions that would take interest rates to 3.5 [...]
Stats body aims to publish key jobs data in late 2026 April 10, 2025 The UK’s official statistics body has set a target of November 2026 for the reform of its flagship Labour Force Survey (LFS), which monitors the UK jobs market. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has been dogged by several troubles in data gathering, prompting criticism from the Bank of England as well as an intervention [...]
Bank of England warns ‘age of uncertainty’ stopping rapid rate cuts March 5, 2025 An “age of uncertainty”, especially over the path of inflation, means that rapid interest rate cuts are unlikely to be coming to the UK, top Bank of England officials have said. Huw Pill, chief economist at the Bank of England, said the central bank was unlikely to make “larger and more rapid cuts to interest [...]
Labour survey failing because Brits don’t answer phones anymore, Bank official says November 26, 2024 The Bank of England’s chief economist has warned that improving official statistics might prove to be a “formidable” challenge due a distinctively British characteristic. For months policymakers have struggled with unreliable data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), which has made it very difficult to get a clear picture of the UK’s labour market. [...]
Bank of England’s Pill backs ‘gradual’ interest rate cuts despite ‘sticky’ pay growth November 12, 2024 Pointing to the pay figures from this morning, Pill said wage pressures remain "quite sticky".
Bank of England’s Huw Pill: ‘Ample reason for caution’ on interest rates October 4, 2024 Huw Pill, chief economist at the Bank of England, called for a “gradual” approach to cutting interest rates, citing continued concerns about the potential upside risks to the inflationary outlook. In a speech this morning Pill said there was “ample reason for caution” when assessing the dissipation of inflationary persistence. “While further cuts in Bank [...]
Bank of England’s Pill: Inflation still needs to be ‘squeezed out’ of the UK August 2, 2024 Despite returning to the two per cent target, inflation still needs to be "squeezed out" of the UK economy, Bank of England chief economist Huw Pill said today.
Bank of England’s top economist Huw Pill ‘uncomfortable’ with persistence of inflation July 10, 2024 In a speech delivered at Asia House in London, Pill said that recent pieces of economic data pointed towards some "upside risks to my assessment of inflation persistence".