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GDP

  • The bond markets must not be allowed block defence spending

    March 19, 2025

    The Germans are funding increased defence spending through debt so why can’t we? The Chancellor needs to start telling a better story about the future direction of our economy, says Paul Ormerod President Trump wants European countries to spend five per cent of GDP on defence. Kier Starmer plans to increase UK spending from 2.3 [...]

  • No 10 says Donald Trump’s tariffs not responsible for UK economy shrinking

    March 14, 2025

    Donald Trump’s tariffs are not responsible for the UK economy shrinking in January, Downing Street has said, in a position that appears to contradict the Chancellor’s reaction to the latest poor economic figures. According to the latest set of gross domestic product (GDP) figures published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS), the economy shrank [...]

  • GDP shrinks in January as UK economy prepares for upcoming tax hikes

    March 14, 2025

    The UK economy underperformed expectations in January. According to the latest set of gross domestic product (GDP) figures published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS), the economy shrank by 0.1 per cent in January as output was dragged down by a sharp drop in output in the production sector. Over the three months to [...]

  • Labour’s growth agenda? Necessary but not sufficient.

    March 11, 2025

    Ministers will be deeply frustrated at the lack of economic growth, though they ought not to be surprised. Their own missteps have been well covered in this newspaper, and week after week new survey data reveals the extent to which government policies have dampened spirits, reduced hiring and spooked confidence. However, while their opening salvo [...]

  • Reeves eyeing spending cuts as fiscal walls cave in

    March 10, 2025

    Rachel Reeves is expected to take the chop to spending in her upcoming Spring Statement, as the government’s fiscal headroom disappears.  The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) is set to show a depletion in the Chancellor’s headway, according to BNP Paribas economists. This leaves the government with little options beside further tax hikes or spending [...]

  • Defence spending to rise to 2.5 per cent by 2027 via aid cuts, Starmer confirms

    February 25, 2025

    Sir Keir Starmer has announced the “biggest sustained increase in defence spending since the end of the Cold War” as he confirmed the UK would spend 2.5 per cent of GDP [gross domestic product] by 2027. The Prime Minister unveiled the policy in a statement to the House of Commons after reports he was set [...]

  • Higher taxes will force two-thirds of hospitality business to cut jobs

    February 24, 2025

    The hospitality sector will be drastically affected by higher taxes on employees’ wages, a new survey has found. A majority of businesses will reduce employment, while over one in ten have to close at least one site and just under two thirds will cancel investment, according to UKHospitality. The UK’s three core hospitality trade bodies [...]

  • UK economy hit by slump in exports to EU

    February 13, 2025

    According to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), UK exports fell 2.5 per cent in the fourth quarter, the third consecutive month of decline.

  • UK economy: Mixed signals for Rachel Reeves as GDP beats expectations

    February 13, 2025

    You can tell it has been a bleak midwinter when quarterly growth figures of 0.1 per cent sets the pulses racing.

  • GDP grows 0.1 per cent as UK economy skirts recession

    February 13, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves received a small boost after the economy unexpectedly grew at the end of last year, ensuring the UK does not face an imminent recession. Output expanded 0.1 per cent in the final three months of the year, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), after GDP rose 0.4 per cent in [...]

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