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GDP

  • Alarming OBR forecast is too optimistic – debt is set to be 647 per cent of GDP

    July 9, 2025

    The OBR is being far too optimistic in its assumptions about productivity growth in the UK – meaning the scale of the country’s debt problem is even greater than it appears, says Ben Ramanauskas According to the OBR’s forecast, the National Debt is projected to be over 270 per cent of GDP by the 2070s. [...]

  • Rachel Reeves to face fresh blow with sluggish growth data

    July 8, 2025

    The UK economy is expected to have grown by a miserly 0.1 per cent in May, consensus among City economists suggests, undermining Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ commitment to deliver higher growth.  The government’s difficult two weeks could get a whole lot worse on Friday morning when the Office for National Statistics (ONS) publishes data on GDP [...]

  • National wealth fund boss slams banking industry’s risk appetite

    June 30, 2025

    The boss of the National Wealth Fund has blasted the banking industry’s risk appetite and cited the lack of risk-taking as the reason for waning growth figures. Speaking at City Week on Monday, John Flint, the chief executive of the newly-established government body, said: “The banking system is very heavily regulated and in the best [...]

  • Disposable income per head slumps despite economic growth

    June 30, 2025

    The Office for National Statistics left growth figures for the UK economy at 0.7 per cent in the first three months of the year unrevised on Monday. Official data from the ONS showed quarter one’s growth was led by a 1.3 per cent increase in the production sector. Services and construction jumped 0.7 per cent [...]

  • Babcock shares soar as FTSE 100 giant hails ‘new era’ for defence

    June 25, 2025

    Engineering giant Babcock posted a jump in profit for the latest financial year as the firm’s boss hailed a “new era for defence”. The FTSE 100 company – which plays a significant role in supporting the UK’s nuclear submarine program – recorded an 11 per cent increase in revenue to £4.8bn. Meanwhile, operating profit surged [...]

  • UK economy shrinks more than expected in blow to Reeves

    June 12, 2025

    The UK economy shrank more than expected in April, official data has shown, suggesting momentum built up in the beginning of this year has already worn away. New figures published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showing a 0.3 per cent contraction come off the back of a strong 0.7 per cent growth in [...]

  • OECD: Rachel Reeves’ ‘insufficient’ fiscal headroom poses risk to UK economy

    June 3, 2025

    The OECD has warned Rachel Reeves’ wafer thin fiscal headroom poses a significant risk to the UK economy as it cut its growth outlook for Britain in 2025 and 2026. The economic organisation urged the Treasury to “step up” efforts to bolster its “very thin” fiscal headroom, expressing concern that it could cause “significant downside [...]

  • Bank of England rate-setter calls for interest rate cut

    May 30, 2025

    A top Bank of England rate-setter has dismissed the latest spike in inflation and doubled down on calls for further interest rate cuts. Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Alan Taylor said the fresh inflation surge was driven by “one-off factors” related to President Donald Trump’s trade war. Whilst he said recent trade progress, with the [...]

  • UK business confidence bounces back from Trump’s tariff blow

    May 30, 2025

    UK business confidence rallied in May as global financial markets made their recovery from President Donald Trump’s tariff onslaught. Lloyds Bank business barometer jumped 11 points over the last month to 50 per cent. – marking a nine month high. The lender surveys 1,200 companies and weighs up the percentage of firms that have a [...]

  • Reeves takes comfort in the promise of future growth

    May 21, 2025

    The government is having a good week. The Prime Minister, in particular, has a spring in his step following his UK-EU ‘reset’ summit. Addressing MPs in the House of Commons yesterday he seemed to have grown taller. True, it only takes a glance at pictures from last week of Starmer meeting Albania’s 6ft 7in leader [...]

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