Bailey gives cautious endorsement of ‘coiled spring’ recovery and dampens inflation fears March 15, 2021 The Governor of the Bank of England has backed the economy to recover this year and cautiously endorsed his Chief Economist Andy Haldane’s prediction of a “coiled spring” recovery. Andrew Bailey told the BBC this morning that though current Bank forecasts predict a gradual recovery, there were welcome “risks to the upside.” Haldane has said [...]
Public’s inflation outlook holds at four-year low March 12, 2021 The public’s expectations for inflation over the next 12 months has held at their lowest level in more than four years, in sharp contrast to a recent rise in market expectations, Bank of England data has revealed. Average expectations for inflation over the next 12 months remained at 2.7 per cent – the joint-lowest reading since August 2016 alongside [...]
Pound sterling falls back to near $1.38 on US jobs data surprise March 5, 2021 Pound Sterling rises tempered by strong US economic figures
UK consumer credit slumped in January as lockdown took hold March 1, 2021 Consumer borrowing in January fell at its fastest pace since May last year as the country returned to lockdown, Bank of England data showed on Monday. Unsecured lending to consumers tumbled by £2.4bn, the biggest drop since last May’s £4.5bn hit. This takes the year-on-year fall to 8.9 per cent, the biggest decline since monthly [...]
UK bonds suffer biggest monthly fall in years February 26, 2021 UK bond prices recorded their sharpest fall in years this month, as investors bet on a rebound in growth and possibly inflation. The fall comes just days before the budget, in which Chancellor Rishi Sunak will set out his economics plans for the UK. The month’s sharp declines largely reflect a global sell-off led by [...]
Pound soars to pre-pandemic heights against euro amid vaccine rollout February 24, 2021 Pound soars to pre-pandemic heights against euro amid vaccine rollout
BoE policymaker: ‘Five per cent interest rates won’t return in my lifetime’ February 22, 2021 Bank of England policymaker Gertjan Vlieghe said he did not expect British interest rates to return to levels common before the 2008 financial crisis during his lifetime, due partly to the effect of an ageing population. Vlieghe, 49, said longer life expectancies and more time spent in retirement had boosted demand for safe retirement assets, [...]
UK PMIs: UK firms fare less badly than expected February 19, 2021 UK firms had a more positive February than anticipated so far, with firms eyeing growth prospects later in the year as the vaccine roll-out continues. The IHS Markit/CIPS purchasing managers index (PMI) jumped to 49.8 in February from 41.2 in January, a far swifter improvement than what was originally feared. The index indicated some stabilisation [...]
Before the Bell: Focus on Andrew Bailey speech later today February 10, 2021 It was quiet in the markets yesterday as the overall outlook did not change. The same stories were circulating: vaccine rollouts and the prospect of additional stimulus from the US. Late last week, it was revealed the Democrats decided to try and implement the proposed $1.9 trillion spending package without receiving approval from the Republicans [...]
Burnley and Asda are unlikely warnings of debt-driven troubles February 10, 2021 It has been a week of mixed messages. Not just on the release from lockdown, but on the economy. The Bank of England indicated that banks have been given six months to prepare for negative interest rates. The Monetary Policy Committee was quick to clarify that this did not mean that they would necessarily cut [...]