Could the UK economy outperform the IMF’s dire recession warning? It’ll take a lot of luck February 1, 2023 Britain and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have a pretty chequered past. Yesterday’s bleak forecasts marked another chapter in the pair’s hate-hate relationship. Yes, the usual barbs that come from ministers of the incumbent government of the day after the lender of last resort’s forecast don’t help. We saw all that yesterday. But, older people [...]
A tumble in mortgage approvals could be followed by a fall in house prices, analysts believe January 31, 2023 Mortgage approvals have plummeted to their lowest since the credit crunch after the global financial crisis in 2008, excluding the pandemic when the housing market was shut down, in a sign house prices could fall sharply soon, according to official data. The number of loans to Brits to fund a home purchase dropped more than [...]
Euro economy pulls ahead of UK reinforcing IMF dire recession warning January 31, 2023 The UK is trailing its European economic peers, fresh figures out today reveal, reinforcing the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) warning that it will be the only rich country to contract this year. The eurozone economy – made up of the 19 countries that use the common currency – unexpectedly grew 0.1 per cent in the [...]
When will the Bank of England, Federal Reserve and ECB start cutting interest rates? Sooner than you think January 31, 2023 Central banks around the world this year are going to take their lead from an unlikely source: the Bank of Canada. While being the central bank of a G7 country, it’s not exactly the biggest of players in the global monetary policy and financial network. Tiff Macklem, the BoC’s chief, has led one of the [...]
UK only G7 economy to shrink this year as IMF deals blow to Jeremy Hunt recession declinism criticism January 31, 2023 Britain will emerge as the “sick man” of the world’s richest countries this year, snatching the unwanted title of being the only G7 economy to contract in 2023, according to forecasts by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The world’s economic watchdog has slashed its expectations for UK GDP again, now pencilling in a 0.6 per [...]
FTSE 100 close: London index kicks off new week softly ahead of expected Bank of England rate hike January 30, 2023 London’s FTSE 100 kicked off a new week in soft style today, with gains held lower by investors sweating over a string of big central banks raising interest rates this week. The capital’s premier index jumped 0.25 per cent to 7,784.88 points, while the domestically-focused mid-cap FTSE 250 index, which is more aligned with the [...]
Bank of England expected to raise interest rates by 50 points to post financial crisis high of four per cent January 26, 2023 The Bank of England is set to hike interest rates 50 basis points to four per cent next week, jacking them up to the highest level since the financial crisis, markets expect. City traders reckon its governor Andrew Bailey will lift borrowing costs for the tenth time in a row, something the UK central bank [...]
House of Lords calls for new body to oversee City regulators January 24, 2023 A member of the House of Lords has tabled amendment to the Financial Services and Markets Bill calling for a new body to be established to oversee the City’s regulators, potentially reigniting debates about the so-called call-in power. An amendment tabled by Lord Bridges called for the creation of an Office for Financial Regulatory Accountability, [...]
UK economy stumbles behind Euro peers as risk of recession gathers pace January 24, 2023 The UK economy is falling further behind its international rivals and experts, according to a closely watched survey. The survey by economists has revealed Britain’s services industry, which generates about £2 in every £3 in the country, is shrinking at the fastest pace in two years. S&P Global and the Chartered Institute of Procurement and [...]
Insurers falling short in modelling cyber and natural catastrophe risks, Bank of England warns January 23, 2023 The UK’s insurance regulator has called on insurers to bolster their cyber and natural catastrophe risk modelling capabilities in preparation for a period of “high volatility and uncertainty”. In a letter sent to UK insurance companies today, the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA), which sits within the Bank of England, warned insurers models are continuing to [...]