Weathering the Brexit storm? Pound jumps almost one per cent after UK manufacturing PMI smashed expectations September 1, 2016 Growth in the UK's manufacturing sector smashed expectations in August – suggesting the manufacturers are weathering the Brexit storm. Markit's purchasing managers index (PMI) for the sector jumped to 53.3 in August, figures published today showed. That's not only the highest in 10 months, but way above expectations of 49 (N.B. any figure above 50 denotes growth). It's also a [...]
Crisis, what crisis? You can see Brexit everywhere but in the economic statistics August 31, 2016 The American Nobel Laureate economist, Robert Solow, famously said that “you can see the computer age everywhere but in the productivity statistics”. We might want to update that quote to, “you can see Brexit everywhere but in the statistics.” UK broad money supply M4ex rose by 6.9 per cent (year-on-year) in July, up from 6.0 [...]
Before the bell: What you need to know before the US market open August 31, 2016 Global economic headwinds are increasing and Eurozone inflation data has proven a disappointment. Here's what you need to know before the US market open at 2:30pm London time. US market futures are more-or-less flat ahead of the open. The S&P is down by 0.02 per cent, the Nasdaq is flat, and the Dow is 0.04 per [...]
Ouch: Eurozone inflation misses expectations as unemployment sticks at five-year low August 31, 2016 We're not angry, we're just disappointed. Eurozone inflation stayed decidedly flat in August, rising just 0.2 per cent during the month – missing expectations of a rise to 0.3 per cent. It's a mark of quite how quiet the City is that it had almost no effect on the euro, which held steady at $1.1147 [...]
UK family disposable incomes reached new high in month after Brexit vote August 31, 2016 Average disposable income across the UK reached a new high in July, helping families "shrug off much of the post-Brexit concern that has plagued businesses and financial markets". Families have experienced a 1.9 per cent increase in earnings since July last year, with disposable income reaching £202 a week, according to Asda’s Income Tracker. However, Asda [...]
Brussels and Washington DC must end this silly standoff over taxes and fines August 31, 2016 Transatlantic relations were hardly flourishing even before Apple was slammed with a €13,000,000,000 tax bill by the European Commission yesterday. Such is the awkward standoff between Washington DC and Brussels that the move was pre-empted in America last week, with the US Treasury accusing the EC of becoming a “supranational tax authority”. The tax tiff [...]
Consumer confidence jumped up last month as shoppers refused to stay indoors during the summer heat August 31, 2016 Consumer confidence has bounced back from a post-referendum dip, with Brits determined to “carry on shopping” in August. The closely-watched GfK consumer confidence index rose by five points in August, up from minus 12 in July to minus seven – with all the measures used to compile the index going up. Respondents' confidence about the general economy improved [...]
Is Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz right that Europe may have to abandon the euro to save the European project? August 30, 2016 Ruth Lea, economic adviser at Arbuthnot Banking Group, says Yes. Granted, some may regard the common currency as an intrinsic part of the “European project”, but the euro is undermining the very foundations of a prosperous and peaceful union for all its members, which is surely what the European project is fundamentally about. And it is [...]
Eurozone economic sentiment fell to a five-month low in August after June’s Brexit vote August 30, 2016 Economic sentiment among the 19 members of the Eurozone fell during August to its lowest level since March, according to new EU data. The European Commission's Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) fell to 103.5 over the past month, from 104.5 in July – well below the 104.1 forecast by a Reuters poll of economists. Confidence was [...]
Ireland “profoundly disagrees” with the EU’s Apple ruling August 30, 2016 Ireland's finance minister has said he "disagrees profoundly" with the verdict handed down from the EU in its Apple tax probe. Brussels has told Ireland to recover up to €13bn (£1.1bn) in back taxes from the tech giant for breaching rules on state aid. Michael Noonan said the country maintains that all tax due has [...]