Inflation rises to its highest in two years as weak sterling takes its toll December 13, 2016 The UK's inflation rate rose to 1.2 per cent in the year to November, up from 0.9 per cent in October – and beating expectations of 1.1 per cent. That puts it at the highest rate since October 2014, when it was 1.3 per cent. The rise was driven by hikes in clothing prices, motor [...]
As Trump enters the White House, will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates more aggressively in 2017? December 13, 2016 It was Ronald Reagan who warned against inflation in 1984 by describing it creeping “like a thief in the night to rob our savings, rob our earnings, and take the bread off our tables.” It is ironic then that President-elect Donald Trump, who borrowed his forebear’s campaign slogan “Make America Great Again” to win the [...]
As analysts predict softer growth in both 2017 and 2018, are we still being too pessimistic about Brexit? December 13, 2016 | City Talk Gerard Lyons, co-chair at Economists for Brexit, says Yes. The UK’s big challenge is that we talk ourselves into an unnecessary downturn. Across the globe, people read constant negative comments from UK economists and politicians. The fact they were wrong before the EU referendum doesn’t seem to bother them. Despite this, many global firms are [...]
Chancellor Philip Hammond calls for a four-year “soft Brexit” as the UK leaves the EU December 12, 2016 Chancellor Philip Hammond has backed a transitional period to ease Britain’s exit from the European Union, bringing relief in the Square Mile but exposing a potential split with senior Cabinet colleagues. Hammond said yesterday that “thoughtful politicians” could see the need for a “longer period to manage the adjustment” of leaving the EU. The comments [...]
Goldman Sachs banker Gary Cohn becomes Donald Trump’s main economic adviser December 12, 2016 Donald Trump has announced the appointment of former Goldman Sachs banker Gary Cohn as his most important economic adviser. Cohn has officially been named as director of the National Economic Council. He will be tasked with advising the President-elect on implementing his unorthodox economic campaign promises, which purportedly combine broad tax cuts with big infrastructure [...]
UK economy gets end of year boost as City jobs market flourishes December 12, 2016 The economy will end the year on a high note with an upswing in the City’s job market, improved growth forecasts and a brighter outlook for business output. A survey from professional services recruiter Morgan McKinley out today shows the City’s job market picking up pace again following the Brexit vote. There was a six [...]
The City has a loud voice in the Brexit debate December 12, 2016 How are we to discern the government's evolving Brexit strategy? Should we sit patiently and wait for strategic leaks? Should we scrutinise every handwritten memo photographed on its way into Downing St? Should we listen to the barrage of voices off, demanding action or concession in certain areas? Perhaps we should simply wait for the [...]
It’s Europe that will push for a conciliatory Brexit – because Britain holds all the aces December 12, 2016 A strong case can be made that the UK economy is in a unique position within the European Economic Area (EEA). Unique, because its membership is to the categorical financial benefit of all other members. Other countries gain either through exports to or via businesses located within Britain. Were the UK to be sent outside the [...]
With the Fed set to hike interest rates this week, will a stronger dollar pose a threat to the world economy? December 12, 2016 Craig Melling, investment manager at Progeny Asset Management, says Yes. The recent boost to the dollar since the US election has been welcomed by investors and stock markets alike. However, looking more closely at the impact of a surging dollar leads us to believe that this is a potential setback for the world economy. First, [...]
Business as usual gives a post-referendum boost to GDP forecasts but inflation is going to dent growth, says British Chambers of Commerce December 12, 2016 A “business as usual” approach from UK businesses has kept the economy steady since the EU referendum, according to the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC), as they revised up growth for 2016 and 2017. The business lobby group’s forecast of this year’s annual GDP growth rate has been upgraded to 2.1 per cent, as firms [...]