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Economics

  • Inflation will push living costs 10 per cent higher than pre-crisis peak

    February 15, 2017

    Inflation could push the cost of living 10 per cent higher than before the financial crisis by 2020, with 11m families below a poverty benchmark, according to a new report. Almost a third of the UK’s population falls below the minimum income standard measure used in the report by academics at Loughborough University and the [...]

  • Industrial strategy needs a three-pillared approach to boost British productivity

    February 15, 2017

    It is clear that government intervention is required to address faltering productivity across the UK, and that this could be a positive step towards meeting the underlying structural challenges facing the UK economy, such as regional inequality and low wage growth. The government has now released its industrial strategy to address such issues. So how does [...]

  • Real wage growth lowest since 2014 as inflation starts to bite

    February 15, 2017

    Wage growth for British workers has slowed as inflation pushed down real earnings to their slowest increase since December 2014. Average weekly earnings grew by 2.6 per cent in the year to December before inflation is taken into account, according to the Office for National Statistics. However, when the increasing cost of living is added [...]

  • A tale of two Eurozones: Greater Germany and Club Med are drifting ever further apart

    February 15, 2017

    At the end of last week Federica Mogherini met leading members of the Trump administration. Mogherini, yet another Italian politician turned Euro-bureaucrat, is in fact the foreign policy chief of the European Union. She stood on her dignity, or rather the dignity of the European Commission, issuing a warning to America not to interfere with [...]

  • It’s time for diversity at the Bank of England

    February 15, 2017

    The financial crash knocked some of the stuffing out of the economics profession, though you wouldn’t know it given the confidence with which economists still parade their forecasts. A few – especially those with a monetarist or Austrian inclination – publicly expressed concern about policy in 2005-2007, but nobody from the mainstream predicted a financial meltdown. [...]

  • Protectionism is raising risks to companies’ global supply chains

    February 14, 2017

    Protectionism and macroeconomic uncertainty have increased the risks to the world’s supply chains to the highest level in 24 years, according to an index tracking world trade. The index grew to a record high as Western Europe saw risks to the world economy’s globalised structure increase markedly, according to economists at Dun & Bradstreet. Companies [...]

  • Federal Reserve’s Janet Yellen sets course for rate rises if economy continues to perform well

    February 14, 2017

    The US dollar jumped in value as Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen told Congress a delay in raising interest rates could be “unwise” if the US economy continues to perform well, despite uncertainty around the outlook. However, Yellen said it was “too early” to know what policies US President Donald Trump’s administration would follow or [...]

  • Beleaguered Greek economy shrinks at end of 2016 as government hires Rothschild to advise on debt load

    February 14, 2017

    The Greek economy shrank in the last three months of 2016, heaping more misery on the beleaguered country as it attempts to avoid a government default. Greece’s GDP fell by 0.4 per cent in the final quarter, according to the Hellenic Statistical Authority, a steep fall from growth of 0.9 per cent in the three [...]

  • Inflation: How far will UK consumer prices rise this year?

    February 14, 2017

    Inflation has already hit a 31-month high, but economists are almost universally predicted a steep rise in consumer prices over the coming year. The Bank of England (BoE) expects consumer prices to rise to 2.7 per cent by the end of this year, but other economists think that might be at the more conservative end [...]

  • Eurozone growth lower than expected as German inflation approaches European Central Bank target

    February 14, 2017

    Growth in the Eurozone was revised down in the fourth quarter as more accurate data revealed a weaker than expected German economy as well as a surprise contraction in the struggling Greek economy. Growth in Europe's largest economy rose in the fourth quarter of 2016, confirming a solid rate of expansion for the year but [...]

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