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Economics

  • UK economy jumped above forecasts before Iran war

    April 16, 2026

    The UK economy was growing ahead of expectations before the war in the Middle East erupted, official data has shown. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said GDP grew by 0.5 per cent over February, though City analysts have suggested the figures are “too good to be true” given trends seen in recent years. In [...]

  • Easyjet shares grounded after revealing £560m hit from Iran war

    April 16, 2026

    Easyjet expects to make a whopping loss in the first half of the financial year after the war in the Middle East led to major disruptions across operations. The budget airline said on Thursday it is forecasting a loss before tax of between £540m and £560m as the industry battles against rising costs. Shares in [...]

  • FTSE 100 Live: Entain leads modest stock jump; Surprise growth ‘pushed to rear view’

    April 16, 2026

    Good morning and welcome back to the City AM liveblog. Markets are betting the latest round of peace talks will bring some resolution to the conflict in the Middle East. US markets managed to clinch a record high close on the latest news of peace talks but in London the FTSE 100 splintered and finished [...]

  • Reeves says diplomacy is ‘best economy policy’ as UK tax burden to mount

    April 15, 2026

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves has said that de-escalating the war in the Middle East is the “best economic policy” to protect growth as the International Monetary Fund showed the UK tax burden was set to deepen at a faster pace than any country.  Speaking at a CNBC event in Washington, Reeves doubled down on her attacks [...]

  • Wall Street banks’ $40bn haul overshadowed by economic threats

    April 15, 2026

    Wall Street’s top banks are toasting a record revenue haul this week, but industry chiefs also struck a note of caution after bumper profits were driven by market volatility. JP Morgan led the pack with a net income of $16.5bn in the first-quarter of the year, up 13 per cent from the same period in [...]

  • Bank of England could cut interest rates ‘if war ends’ 

    April 15, 2026

    The Bank of England could cut interest rates this year if the war in Iran ends and the Strait of Hormuz opens up within weeks, an economist at a City broker has said.   Peel Hunt’s chief economist Kallum Pickering’s current assumption is that the Bank makes two interest rate cuts at the end of this [...]

  • Bank of England: Andrew Bailey warns AI models could ‘crack’ cyber systems 

    April 15, 2026

    Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey has warned that a new AI model designed by a Silicon Valley company could “crack” cybersecurity systems, adding that the the technology poses a continuous challenge for key institutions.  Speaking at an event in New York, Bailey suggested Mythos Claude, which was created by Anthropic, presented a threat to [...]

  • FTSE 100 Live: Stocks jittery as Trump eyes Iran ‘grand bargain’; Reeves to meet Bessent

    April 15, 2026

    Good morning and welcome back to the City AM liveblog. Hopes of peace talks in the Middle East were back on the table this morning, though markets weren’t holding there breathe after weeks of bait-and-switches. Donald Trump described the war with Iran as “close to over” during an interview with Fox news. “I think it’s [...]

  • IMF: Middle East war risks sparking government debt doom loop

    April 14, 2026

    Ballooning levels of government debt have left the global economy dangerously exposed to the aftereffects of the Middle East war, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which warned a fresh wave of inflation could trigger a historic bond crisis. In its latest Financial Stability Report, the financial body said that countries’ inability to rein [...]

  • IMF slaps UK with biggest growth downgrade of any G7 country 

    April 14, 2026

    The UK economy has suffered the biggest growth forecast downgrade of any country in the G7 in the International Monetary Fund’s spring economic outlook report, dealing a blow to Chancellor Rachel Reeves as she struggles to overcome setbacks sparked by the Iran war. Growth this year was revised down by 0.5 percentage points as trade [...]

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