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Economics

  • Recession fears spike after Trump threatens new China tariffs

    October 11, 2025

    President Donald Trump has said he will slap an additional 100 per cent tax on Chinese imports by 1 November or sooner spiking recession fears after global markets tumbled. Taking to his Truth Social platform, Trump cited the export controls placed on rare earths by China as the reason for the fresh levy. The President [...]

  • OBR risks being ‘unreasonably pessimistic’ as Reeves set to be given leeway

    October 10, 2025

    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) risks being “unreasonably pessimistic” if it decides to downgrade productivity growth trends by more than 0.1 percentage point, fresh analysis has indicated, in what could hand Chancellor Rachel Reeves some extra leeway at this year’s Budget.  The fiscal watchdog is widely expected to downgrade productivity forecasts as part of [...]

  • Tax fears heat up as firms ‘not ready for another Budget battering’ 

    October 10, 2025

    Tax fears across businesses in the UK are bubbling up, a leading survey has indicated, as Chancellor Rachel Reeves is warned that firms are “not ready for another Budget battering” later this year.  The British Chambers of Commerce (BCC)’s survey has shown that business confidence remains in a fragile state amid nerves that another damaging [...]

  • Number of job seekers spike as high taxes continue to hurt UK economy

    October 10, 2025

    The number of job seekers has spiked while a rise in starting salaries was “fractional”, according to analysis of leading survey data, in signs the jobs market is struggling to shake off higher taxes and low growth prospects.  New monthly findings by the Recruitment and Employment Confederation (REC) and KPMG have pointed to another rise [...]

  • What will Rachel Reeves’ budget pay for and where will the money come from?

    October 9, 2025

    Rachel Reeves’ November budget is fast approaching, and steep tax rises are once again on the cards. Speaking at Labour conference last month, the Chancellor hinted at tax hikes by warning that she will be forced into “harder choices” by “harsh global headwinds”. To balance the books in accordance with her much-discussed fiscal rules, Reeves [...]

  • Bank of England’s Mann: Higher interest rates will lower inflation fears

    October 9, 2025

    The Bank of England has said that households’ fears of high inflation levels could be tempered by keeping interest rates for longer.  In an event hosted by the think tank Resolution Foundation, Mann doubled down on her calls for the Bank to squeeze out inflation pressures in order to ease household nerves of higher prices [...]

  • Labour ministers ordered to stop relying on emergency funds 

    October 9, 2025

    Labour ministers have been told they will be blocked from using the government’s reserve funds to pay public sector staff and will only be given cash in exceptional circumstances.  James Murray, the chief secretary to the Treasury, has told colleagues across the Cabinet that access to rainy day funds will be limited as the government [...]

  • Labour’s unemployment benefit reforms could ‘save £3bn a year’ 

    October 9, 2025

    A government proposal to replace the unemployment benefits system with an “unemployment insurance” benefit could save the government up to £3bn a year despite being higher than the current new style jobseeker’s allowance payment, a new report has indicated. Labour officials are mulling over plans to cut the welfare bill to reduce the size of [...]

  • Business confidence slumps to three-year low as tax fears ‘quash risk-taking’

    October 9, 2025

    Business confidence has plummeted to its lowest level in three years, an industry body’s leading quarterly survey has found, as rising tax fears ahead of the Budget are “quashing” investment and growth in the UK economy.  The Labour government has boasted that the country was “open for business” after it struck investment deals with tech [...]

  • Autumn Budget: ‘Window is closing’ on Labour’s growth mission

    October 9, 2025

    Ahead of the Autumn Budget, City Reporter Samuel Norman sits down with top industry names for a Budget Briefing. This week, chief executive of BusinessLDN shares what he thinks could be the capital’s 21st century moment. The “window is closing” on the government’s mission to achieve economic growth, the boss of London’s business advocacy group [...]

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