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      The devastating prognosis for the UK’s public finances

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Economics

  • Construction in worst downturn for five-and-a-half years

    December 4, 2025

    The construction sector suffered its worst downturn in output for five and a half years last month, new figures have shown, in a warning to the Labour government as it hopes to build 1.5m homes by 2030.  A monthly S&P Global survey showed that the decline in output rapidly accelerated over the month, with the [...]

  • Growing threats to UK financial stability

    December 4, 2025

    What keeps you up at night? For the governor of the Bank of England it’s a long list of threats to the UK’s financial system – so let’s take a look at them. The Bank of England’s latest financial stability report makes for a sobering read. It says “risks to financial stability have increased during [...]

  • The Leaky War: How Rachel Reeves and the OBR came to blows

    December 4, 2025

    Between 5:16am and 11:30am on the day of the Budget, as Rachel Reeves was putting the finishing touches to her House of Commons speech, 7 audacious internet users made 44 attempts to break into the servers of Britain’s fiscal watchdog to get an early glimpse of her plans.  An hour before Reeves stood up in [...]

  • Unemployment nightmare is entirely Labour’s fault

    December 4, 2025

    Rising unemployment is a double evil; it both reveals problems in the economy and exacerbates them. Unemployment has risen every month since Labour returned to power, and the number of people out of work will soon hit levels last seen during the pandemic. Last month, the rate of job losses was at its fastest for [...]

  • Businesses shed staff at ‘fastest rate since February’

    December 3, 2025

    Businesses laid off staff at the fastest rate in nine months as growth in the UK economy suffered a “renewed slowdown”, new data has indicated.  S&P Global’s purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for November suggested growth marginally changed over the month, with researchers pointing the finger at pre-Budget speculation keeping bosses on edge.  The composite PMI [...]

  • FCA chief ducks committing to investigating Treasury briefings

    December 3, 2025

    The boss of the City watchdog appeared to skirt committing to investigating Treasury briefings when pressed on the Labour government’s “possible market abuse” on Wednesday morning. Nikhil Rathi, chief executive of the Financial Conduct Authority, has been lobbied by the Conservatives and other opponents to the Labour government to look into the rogue briefings on [...]

  • OBR chief hits out at ‘misconceptions’ in Treasury briefings

    December 2, 2025

    A top economist at the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has defended a decision to release a letter that contradicted anonymous Treasury briefings in media reports, adding that details in reports were “damaging” to the fiscal watchdog. David Miles, a member of the Budget Responsibility Committee (BRC), told MPs on the Treasury Select Committee that [...]

  • OECD: Labour is pushing UK inflation to second highest in G7

    December 2, 2025

    The UK is set to suffer the second highest level of inflation in the G7 over the next year as a result of the Labour government’s decisions to pile extra costs on businesses, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has said as it also warned recent tax hikes will hit growth. In its [...]

  • Bank of England warns of rising global threat as lenders’ capital rules slashed

    December 2, 2025

    The Bank of England has warned of increased global risks to financial stability, even as it slashed rules imposed on UK lenders dictating the amount of capital they must hold. The central bank said “risks to financial stability have increased during 2025”. “Global risks remain elevated and material uncertainty in the global macroeconomic outlook persists,” [...]

  • FTSE 100 Live: OBR chiefs face MP grilling; Food inflation slows

    December 2, 2025

    Good morning and welcome back to the City AM liveblog. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) admitted its “worst failure in the 15-year history” of the fiscal watchdog on Monday. This morning, from 10am, two of its remaining spokespeople will be facing a grilling from the Treasury select committee of MPs. The sensational leak of [...]

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