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Economics

  • Economy: Why the latest data makes a ‘technical’ recession seem (almost) inevitable – with pub spending the only white knight

    January 19, 2024

    The UK appears set to enter recession - and even if the term is in some ways meaningless, it's still very bad news indeed

  • FTSE 100 today: London markets likely to soar on the heels of global tech rally

    January 19, 2024

    Global stocks surge in a tech rally, oil prices dip, and Bitcoin hits a five-week low. Attention now shifts to UK retail sales and U.S. Michigan Sentiment data.

  • Bank of England survey: Default rates continue rising in 2023 – but at slower pace

    January 18, 2024

    According to bank responses to the Bank of England's quarterly credit conditions survey, default rates on secured lending - which includes mortgage lending - increased in the final quarter of 2023.

  • Why UK equities could ‘turn a corner’ in 2024

    January 18, 2024

    UK equities will "turn a corner" in 2024 as analysts bet that growing optimism about the UK's economic prospects would provide a strong tailwind.

  • FTSE 100 today: London markets likely to open in red following weak global cues 

    January 18, 2024

    Global stocks fall, China shares hits 5-year low, greenback nears one-month peak, and oil prices rise; focus shifts to Christine Lagarde's speech and U.S. economic data.

  • Central bankers push back on interest rate cut bets but accept progress on inflation

    January 17, 2024

    In the US, traders think there is a 60 per cent chance that the Fed will lower interest rates in March, according to CME Fedwatch.

  • Why December’s inflation surprise is not a moment to panic

    January 17, 2024

    How worrying are December's inflation figures for the Bank of England? And what does it mean for when interest rates will start being cut?

  • Bank of England: Andrew Bailey doesn’t have long to restore credibility

    January 17, 2024

    New data serves only to confuse the picture, which makes Andrew Bailey and the Bank of England's public utterances all the more important

  • Inflation picks up to surprise four per cent on higher tobacco prices

    January 17, 2024

    The figures come just a day after new data showed that wage pressures had eased significantly in the second half of last year.

  • Electoral and fiscal pressures will clash over the coming year – there can only be one winner

    January 17, 2024

    The main political parties have received no shortage of warnings about reckless fiscal plans ahead of this year’s election. 

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