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Economics

  • Will the Budget push the economy off the cliff?

    November 13, 2025

    Downing Street is in chaos and the economy has flatlined. Now, with just a couple of weeks to go until we find out what’s really in Rachel Reeves’ Budget, Britain’s bosses are getting restless.  It used to be the case that Chancellor’s went quiet in the run-up to a Budget, keeping their powder dry and [...]

  • Productivity growth twitchy in wake-up call for OBR and Reeves

    November 13, 2025

    Productivity levels stuttered in the third quarter of the year, an initial estimate has shown, subverting the Chancellor’s hopes of boosting output in the UK economy.  The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said on Thursday morning that quarterly growth in output per hour rates was 0.7 per cent, the highest level since the end of [...]

  • UK economy barely grows in third quarter

    November 13, 2025

    The UK economy grew at a more sluggish pace than expected in the third quarter of the year amid a pervasive sense of gloom across the country ahead of the Budget.  The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said there was 0.1 per cent GDP growth between July and September, triggering fears among City analysts that [...]

  • Housing market slump ‘compounded’ by Budget fears

    November 13, 2025

    The housing market suffered from a six-month low in demand amid caution from consumers ahead of the upcoming Budget, a survey has shown.  Buyer demand, sales activity and new instructions fell into negative territory over October in a monthly survey conducted by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (Rics).  Property professionals blamed fears around the [...]

  • Reeves’ £28bn wealth fund under fresh scrutiny  

    November 13, 2025

    Rachel Reeves’ flagship National Wealth Fund has come under scrutiny after an audit identified “weaknesses” in the multi-billion pound vehicle’s risk controls. An audit of the National Wealth Fund (NWF) pointed to potential failures in the effectiveness of risk, management, governance and internal controls. Whilst the findings from the report confirmed “improvements have taken place”, [...]

  • Bond markets ignore Starmer briefings and Westminster gossip

    November 12, 2025

    Bond markets shrugged at Keir Starmer’s team’s attacks against Cabinet ministers and Westminster gossip suggesting a leadership contest was emerging after investors were dragged into briefing wars. On Tuesday night, a briefing war erupted in Westminster as Keir Starmer’s allies told journalists that there would be a rout in the bond markets if the Prime [...]

  • Brits don’t believe this is a country that rewards hard work

    November 12, 2025

    What conversations are you having at work, at home, in the pub? There’s plenty to talk about, from Traitors (BBC good?) to trust in public broadcasting (BBC bad?) to say nothing of football, Remembrance Day, the weather and Christmas. Looking beyond these topics, is it possible to discern the national mood? Do we feel that [...]

  • Jobs market decline ‘fuels hopes’ for Bank of England interest rate cut 

    November 11, 2025

    The jump in the unemployment rate and softening private sector wage growth is driving up expectations of an interest rate cut at the Bank of England’s next meeting in mid-December.  The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said the unemployment rate had jumped to 5 per cent, higher than economists had expected, while wage growth had [...]

  • Unemployment rate surges to 5 per cent

    November 11, 2025

    The UK unemployment rate has surged to a post-pandemic high in further signs the jobs market has struggled to bounce back, amid interest rate cuts and adjustments to last year’s tax raid on employers.  The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said the unemployment rate had hit 5 per cent as there were 32,000 fewer payrolled [...]

  • FTSE 100 Live: Vodafone shares lead blue-chip rally; Unemployment rises

    November 11, 2025

    Good morning from the City AM liveblog team. What are you looking forward to more – Black Friday or Budget day? They are two vital days that UK retailers are bracing for in this month’s calendar, both of which can provide a major boost to firms – or crushing disappointment. Retail sales today show another [...]

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