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Economics

  • UK GDP growth expected to slide after Awful April 

    June 10, 2025

    The UK economy is expected to have contracted in April as the double whammy of tax hikes and higher energy prices help reverse the 0.7 per cent growth gains seen in the first three months of the year.  A Bloomberg poll of economists said City analysts are pencilling in a 0.1 per cent reduction to [...]

  • Winter fuel U-turn could lead to ‘unfair’ and ‘complex’ tax system

    June 9, 2025

    Treasury calculations on savings made from a means-tested winter fuel payment for nine million pensioners may be significantly reduced due to a “new complexity in the tax system”, an economics think tank has warned.  The government has claimed that £1.25bn budgeting for winter fuel payments represents a cost reduction of up to £450m compared to [...]

  • Voters fear Reeves tax U-turn after Spending Review splash out

    June 9, 2025

    UK voters are worried Chancellor Rachel Reeves will betray Labour manifesto pledges not to hike income tax, a new poll has suggested, as the government looks set to ramp up investment at Wednesday’s spending review. Sir Keir Starmer has declared that the government cannot “tax [its] way to growth” while ministers have said the spending [...]

  • Winter fuel payments to return for 9m pensioners in £1.3bn Labour u-turn

    June 9, 2025

    The winter fuel payment will be handed out to 9m pensioners whose income falls below £35,000 a year, the Treasury has revealed, in a £1.25bn blow to Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ chances of keeping her £9.9bn headroom intact. 

  • London suffering from UK economic malaise, NatWest data suggests

    June 9, 2025

    Businesses in London saw output decline for the second consecutive month in NatWest’s growth tracker – yet there is some optimism that the capital’s economy could resurge.  Firms widely reported Chancellor Reeves’ tax hikes and a rise in energy bills, which kicked into effect in what has been dubbed ‘Awful April’, contributed to a decline [...]

  • UK dominates European investment appeal despite drop in activity

    June 9, 2025

    The UK has continued to storm ahead of its European rivals as the region’s most attractive destination for financial services investment, despite a sharp drop in activity. The UK recorded 73 foreign direct investment (FDI) projects in 2024, a steep 32 per cent drop from 108 the previous year, according to EY’s latest Attractiveness Survey for [...]

  • Government’s pension pot raid risks leaving millions underfunded

    June 8, 2025

    Government plans to allow companies to extract cash from final salary pension schemes have come under fire after fresh analysis found the policy could put millions of retirees’ savings at risk. The Pension Schemes Bill, introduced last week, creates new rules allowing employers to remove “surplus” cash from defined benefits (DB) pension schemes, which are [...]

  • Home Office plans to spend £2.2bn of foreign aid on asylum support

    June 7, 2025

    The Home Office plans to spend about £2.2 billion of foreign aid to support asylum seekers this financial year, according to new figures. The amount of overseas development assistance (ODA) budgeted by the Home Office – which is largely used to cover accommodation costs such as hotels for asylum seekers – is slightly less than [...]

  • Klarna boss: AI will lead to recession and mass job losses

    June 7, 2025

    The introduction of AI at firms could lead to a recession due to mass job losses of professionals, Klarna’s chief executive has warned. The use of AI to make work more efficient has been encouraged by leading figures, including the government itself which said it could save civil servants two weeks a year. But fintech [...]

  • Rachel Reeves may have to ‘revisit’ manifesto tax pledges to meet fiscal rules, economists warn

    June 6, 2025

    Rachel Reeves may have to tear up Labour’s manifesto tax commitments to meet her tight fiscal rules, economists have warned, as the Chancellor battles to balance the books amid calls for higher spending on defence and welfare. A suite of new day-to-day spending commitments made by the Treasury in recent weeks, including reversing cuts to [...]

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