Thursday 5 September 2019 2:53 pm

Brexit: What do the public think will happen next?

No-deal Brexit is the most likely outcome from parliament’s current stalemate, according to the public.

The UK is expected to crash out of the EU without a deal, 72 per cent of Brits believe, Yougov’s survey of 1,639 people found.

The pollster asked people what outcomes they believe are most realistic, rather than what outcome they most desire.

Read more: Sterling recovers past $1.23 as Boris battles Brexit stalemate

Only seven per cent of respondents believed no-deal Brexit was off the table, according to the survey, which was conducted between 2 and 3 September.


That was prior to yesterday’s developments in parliament, which saw MPs support a bill that aims to reduce the risk of a no-deal Brexit.

The Commons voted to back Hilary Benn’s bill that forces the PM to seek a three-month extension to Brexit if he has not agreed a deal by 19 October.

The next most likely outcome, Brits believe, is a delay to Brexit, which 56 per cent of respondents believe is possible.

More Remainers believe in this outcome than Leavers, with 69 per cent of the former saying it could happen compared to 47 per cent of Brexiters.

Meanwhile there is more support for a softer Brexit deal than Prime Minister Johnson’s deal, which would kill the so-called Irish backstop.

Read more: Boris’ brother Jo quits Government to spend less time with his family

While 43 per cent believe the former is likely, 38 per cent said Johnson could still strike his preferred deal with the EU.

As for former Prime Minister Theresa May’s thrice-rejected Brexit deal, remarkably 20 per cent of respondents still believe this deal is possible. The EU will be pleased to hear it.

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