What could a recession mean for the pound in 2023? City analysts have their say January 15, 2023 The pound is on course for another tough year with the UK likely experiencing the worst recession of all major economies, analysts have told City A.M. The risk of sterling tumbling to another record low against the US dollar, as it did last year, is slim, analysts think, mainly due to the low likelihood of [...]
Week ahead: First data dump of 2023 to reveal whether UK tipped into recession January 15, 2023 The first big data dump of 2023 in the coming week is set to unveil more clues on whether the UK economy entered a recession in the final months of last year. City traders are hoping fresh inflation figures out on Wednesday from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) will show price pressures are still [...]
Why UK banks are not going to cause another financial crisis January 15, 2023 UK banks are better prepared to withstand a jump in home loan defaults, cooling fears of a repeat of the financial crisis, analysts have told City A.M. Strict affordability rules implemented after the 2008 banking crash have strengthened lenders’ loan books, meaning they are well insulated from a potential rise in defaults caused by last [...]
Looking at both sides of the coin: a technical view of CBDCs January 13, 2023 Dr Carlos Leon - a director at crypto platform FNA - puts forward the case for central bank digital currencies (CBDCs).
Analysis: A growing economy and falling energy bills, the stars could be aligning January 13, 2023 Britain might narrowly avoid a technical recession, energy prices could be falling , and mortgage borrowing costs might not be as crippling. Sascha O’Sullivan looks at the good news.
UK economy shockingly grows in November on back of World Cup pub boost, raising hopes of shallow recession January 13, 2023 The UK economy expanded in November, smashing downbeat market expectations and signalling the coming recession could be short lived, official figures out today reveal. Gross domestic product (GDP) climbed 0.1 per cent in November, defying analysts’ bets on a 0.2 per cent contraction, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said today. The expansion was driven [...]
Bank of England makes £3.8bn profit from Liz Truss mini budget bond sales January 12, 2023 The Bank of England has trousered £3.8bn in profits from ditching bonds it hoovered up to stem financial chaos caused by Liz Truss’s calamitous mini-budget, the central bank told City A.M. The Bank announced today it has ditched all the £19.3bn of gilts purchased last autumn to stabilise the UK debt market. Governor Andrew Bailey [...]
As US inflation eases off 40-year high, Fed likely to ease off on back-to-back jumbo rate hikes January 12, 2023 US inflation is at its lowest level in 15 months, fuelling speculation the Federal Reserve will step back from further jumbo interest rate hikes in 2023, Official figures out today show the rate of price increases in the world’s largest economy fell to 6.5 per cent in December, down from 7.1 per cent in November, [...]
Bank of England to hike interest rates to lower peak but still to financial crisis high January 12, 2023 The Bank of England will lift interest rates to a much lower peak than expected just a matter of months ago, but is still set to send them to their steepest level since the financial crisis, City traders suspect. Markets reckon borrowing costs will peak at below 4.5 per cent, meaning investors think the Bank [...]
London holding off UK recession but businesses sweat over inflation January 12, 2023 London appears to be withstanding the UK’s wider economic decline, with businesses hiring at a record pace and expecting their finances to fatten up over the coming year, a new survey out today reveals. The capital’s jobs market is running at red hot levels, according to the London Chambers of Commerce and Industry’s (LCCI) latest [...]