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By: Paul Ormerod

Paul Ormerod is an economist at Volterra Partners LLP, author and an Honorary Professor at the Alliance Business School at the University of Manchester

All 226 Articles
  • Keir Starmer could be more like Harold Wilson than Tony Blair

    June 26, 2024

    Comparisons with 1997 start and finish with the polls. Unlike Blair, Starmer will inherit an economy in desperate need of a sharp turnaround, says Paul Ormerod Labour’s massive lead in the opinion polls is generating many parallels with the 1997 election. Will Keir Starmer end up with a bigger majority than Tony Blair or not? [...]

  • We can’t borrow our way back to growth

    June 12, 2024

    When 7.3 per cent of public spending goes on interest spending, the debt burden is completely unsustainable – and it’s only getting worse, says Paul Ormerod This week’s manifesto launches have made the poor state of the public finances clear – simply put, there’s very little money for any party to play with. One reason [...]

  • We’re still paying for lockdown, so why is no one talking about it?

    June 7, 2024

    We borrowed billions to pay for lockdown but neither Starmer nor Sunak will admit that the resulting debt is holding the public finances in a vice-like grip, says Paul Ormerod To borrow a famous phrase from Karl Marx, a spectre is haunting the election campaign.  Despite the frantic efforts by the Conservatives to portray Keir [...]

  • Economic performance under Labour and Conservative governments: a reckoning

    May 29, 2024

    Voter apathy over the upcoming election is rational – history suggests the economic outcome will be broadly the same regardless of whether Labour or the Conservatives form the next government, says Paul Ormerod The election campaign has kicked off and already the air is thick with promises and counter-promises. Despite all the efforts of politicians [...]

  • Does Manchester City prove you can buy success?

    May 22, 2024

    Manchester City's fourth consecutive Premiership victory is just one example of the concentration of success in football among a few clubs

  • Starmer’s labour market reforms will put people out of work

    May 15, 2024

    Keir Starmer's plans to expand workers' rights will push up the cost of hiring people and push some people out of their jobs

  • The history of rail suggests renationalisation will make little difference

    May 3, 2024

    Britain has never cracked the formula for cheap, efficient, reliable rail, so what makes Labour think renationalisation is the answer?

  • Have we passed peak electric car?

    April 24, 2024

    Electric cars have not become better or cheaper fast enough, and without rapid improvements the market will run out of road, says Paul Ormerod This week I got rid of my electric car.  As a car, it was a pleasure to drive.  I also enjoyed the fact that it disconcerted at least some of my [...]

  • Beneath the jargon, Bernanke delivers devastating critique of the Bank of England

    April 17, 2024

    Leading economist Ben Bernanke has exposed the flawed modelling and out-of-date technology behind the Bank’s failures to forecast inflation, says Paul Ormerod Last week, Ben Bernanke, former chairman of the US Federal Reserve Bank and Nobel Laureate in economics, published his review into the process of forecasting and policymaking at the Bank of England. You [...]

  • Scotland’s risible hate crime law is an incentive for the police to fail

    April 10, 2024

    It’s easy to laugh at the latest example of SNP incompetence, but new hate crime laws will have serious consequences – not last for the police’s ability to solve actual crimes, says Paul Ormerod The Scottish hate crime law has been a prominent feature in the media ever since it came into force just over [...]

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