‘Not sustainable’ – French borrowing costs soar amid Budget and election uncertainty Markets France is facing a period of acute bond market stress that could last several years unless the presidential frontrunners for next year’s election commit to tackling its gaping deficit, analysts have warned. The difference between French and German government borrowing costs – a key metric used to determine French debt risk – widened beyond 120 [...]
Bailey calls for greater AI testing as risks to economy rise Economics Andrew Bailey has called on governments to ramp up testing on frontier AI models before they are launched to the public, warning that advanced artificial intelligence posed sophisticated threats to the banking, markets and payments systems. In the first of a series of letters on the fledgling technology, the governor of the Bank of England [...]
Our debt addiction can only end in tears Economics In December 2009, ratings agency Fitch downgraded Greek sovereign debt from A- to BBB+ following a dramatic few weeks in which the state of the country’s public finances were laid bare. By February, riot police in Athens were firing stun grenades and tear gas as they struggled to maintain public order. What followed was years [...]
‘Liz Truss-lite’: Is Japan in the midst of a sovereign debt crisis? January 22, 2026 Japan’s long-dated bonds suffered their worst sell-off this century on Tuesday. Ali Lyon asks whether the rout could spark a full-blown debt crisis? For decades, the world’s fixed income investors have been sucked in – and spat out – by an alluring trade on Japan’s government bonds. Secure in their belief that the securities’ unfathomable, [...]
IMF sounds alarm on soaring sovereign debt October 15, 2025 The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has urged governments to bear down on profligate spending after it found government debt was on course to reach 100 per cent of global GDP within the next five years. In its latest Fiscal Monitor report, the world’s preeminent financial institution sounded the alarm on developed and developing nations’ over-reliance [...]
‘Storm of volatility’ carries gold past $4,000 per ounce October 8, 2025 A flurry of political drama across several major economies has stoked already existing fears around ballooning sovereign debt to fuel gold’s rise this year, market strategists have said, after the precious metal shot past $4,000 per troy ounce for the first time in its history on Wednesday. Analysts said the ongoing political impasses in France [...]
The worrying bond market trend no one is talking about September 1, 2025 Spiking interest rates on the UK government’s borrowing costs have set off a fresh wave of commentary on the health of Britain’s economy. Ali Lyon explores why it is only long-dated bonds where tremors have been most pronounced, and why the U has plenty of company. What will you be doing in 30 years’ time? [...]
Ray Dalio: UK is in a ‘debt doom loop’ July 28, 2025 The UK is in a “debt doom loop” of high taxes, low growth and a ballooning debt pile, according to one of the world’s most renowned investors, who also warned that the need to raise taxes will only drive more wealthy residents to leave. Ray Dalio, the billionaire who founded US hedge fund giant Bridgewater [...]
The great debt headache May 22, 2025 Debt, debt, everywhere but not a drop to… add to any well balanced investment portfolio. The world is awash with government bonds thanks to the debt piled up during the pandemic. But the increase in interest rates alongside the most significant bout of inflation for four decades has left investors in a quandary. What interest [...]
Why the gold price will continue to rally in 2025 December 28, 2024 The untrammelled ascent of bitcoin has occupied the attention of many market watchers of late, with Donald Trump’s election to the White House sending the cryptocurrency – and others like it – on an eye-watering tear. Bitcoin has risen nearly 50 per cent since November 3 – the eve of the US election – while [...]