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Inflation

  • It’s not the oil price, it’s the government response that matters

    March 18, 2026

    Like most commodities, oil has fluctuated in price very substantially over time with regrettable effects on household incomes. But the biggest mistake would be to try to protect living standards as a whole when the country has been made worse off, says Paul Ormerod Shock, horror, the oil price is over $100 a barrel. The [...]

  • Alcohol-free beer and hummus: Trendy food transforms inflation basket

    March 16, 2026

    Healthy food and personal security products have dominated the list of additions to the Office for National Statistics’ basket of goods, which is used to calculate CPI inflation each month.  Alcohol-free beer, hummus and baby food are among the new entries in the inflation basket of goods, it has been revealed.  The revisions to the [...]

  • Oil crisis to ‘push UK into recession’ after growth flatlines

    March 13, 2026

    Fears that the ongoing crisis in the Middle East will plunge the UK into a recession have been amplified after fresh figures revealed the economy flatlined in January. The price of oil closed above $100 for the first time since 2022 last night as interventions from the global energy body failed to calm markets amid [...]

  • Iran war ‘heavily’ affecting property confidence, developer says

    March 13, 2026

    Property developer Berkeley Group has said the Iran war is “weighing heavily” on market confidence and could push up inflation. The FTSE 100 firm told shareholders on Friday: “The emerging situation in the Middle East is weighing heavily on risk sentiment and we await to see the impact of this on the market.” “While reaffirming [...]

  • ‘Taxed to a standstill’ – UK economy grinds to a halt with no growth in January

    March 13, 2026

    The UK economy saw zero growth in the first month of the year – before global markets were rocked by the outbreak of war in the Middle East. Fresh figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) have handed a major blow to Rachel Reeves with the economy flat in January, compared to the 0.2 [...]

  • Oil surges again as industry faces ‘largest disruption in history of the market’

    March 12, 2026

    The global energy body has warned the current oil crisis triggered by the war in the Middle East marks the “largest disruption” in history of the commodity’s market. The International Energy Agency (IEA) made a record intervention in the market on Wednesday, with the release of 400m barrels from the strategic reserves. But the move [...]

  • Mortgage lenders pull deals at fastest pace since mini-Budget

    March 11, 2026

    Mortgage lenders are pulling deals at the fastest rate since Liz Truss infamous mini-Budget amid growing agitation around the economic consequences of the Iran war. Nearly 500 homeowner mortgages have disappeared from the market in mere days, according to finanical information platform Moneyfacts, as average mortgage rates breeze past the five per cent mark. Moneyfacts [...]

  • OBR warns inflation could exceed three per cent if Iran crisis continues

    March 10, 2026

    Inflation is set to jump back up above three per cent if the rise in oil prices is sustained, a government watchdog has warned, amid fears the energy crisis in the Middle East could drag on. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR)’s David Miles said the current rise in oil and gas prices would add [...]

  • World’s top oil producer warns ‘catastrophic consequences’ after Iran threats

    March 10, 2026

    The world’s top oil producer has warned of “catastrophic consequences” for the commodity’s global market after Iran threatened to block key shipping routes. Saudi Aramco – the state-owned national oil company of Saudi Arabia which controls over 270 billion barrels of reserves – has sounded the alarm that the Iran’s blocking of the Strait of [...]

  • Oil shock will be felt well beyond energy markets

    March 10, 2026

    Energy shocks rarely remain confined to energy markets. They propagate through bond markets, fiscal balances and inflation expectations, says Helen Thomas As Winston Churchill once warned: “The statesman who yields to war fever must realise that once the signal is given he is no longer the master of policy, but the slave of unforeseeable and [...]

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