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growth forecast

  • ‘Calm before the storm’: City warns Healey growth spurt won’t last

    Economics

    The UK economy’s surprise summer growth spurt is set to be “blown away” by a spike in energy prices and a recent surge in the cost of borrowing, economists have warned the government. Fresh figures revealed on Friday that the economy expanded 0.4 per cent in July, ahead of initial forecasts that predicted flat growth. [...]

    Patrick Healey in a suit with a red tie, looking contemplatively to the left, with an American flag behind him.
  • UK economy grew unexpectedly after Burnham took over as Prime Minister

    Economics

    The UK economy had surprise growth in the month Andy Burnham became Prime Minister. Official figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) have revealed GDP expanded 0.4 per cent in July, racing ahead of City economists’ forecast of zero growth. This was led by 0.4 per cent growth in the UK’s mammoth services sector, [...]

    Andy Burnham, Mayor of Greater Manchester, speaking with hands gesturing, wearing a suit and glasses.
  • As it happened: FTSE 100 drops as Antofagasta prompts miner sell-off; oil prices cool

    FTSE 100 Live

    Welcome back to City AM liveblog. The FTSE 100 dropped on Thursday morning, as the mining sector dragged on the blue-chip index. Antofagasta has fallen furthest, by nearly five per cent, after investors pounced on a production shortfall and cut to full-year guidance disclosed in its update this morning. This spook has weighed on the [...]

    Glencore floated on the London Stock Exchange in 2011 and is one of the largest members of the FTSE 100.
  • UK economy grows despite Iran war hit

    July 16, 2026

    The UK economy grew marginally in May after strong performance in parts of the services sector helped soften the impact of Iran war and narrowly prevented a contraction. Fresh figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) have revealed the economy grew 0.1 per cent in May, broadly in line with market expectations. The services [...]

  • As it happened: Stocks drop on Trump-Iran warning; Mahmood tipped to be chancellor

    July 16, 2026

    Welcome back to the City AM liveblog. The UK has received fresh economic growth data this morning which has put GDP expansion at a sluggish 0.1 per cent for the month of May. The services sector – which contributes more than 80 per cent of total economic output – grew 0.3 per cent against steep [...]

  • OECD sounds alarm on pension triple lock in challenge to Burnham

    July 15, 2026

    The world’s leading independent economic organisation has warned that reform of the triple lock on state pensions is “necessary to reduce fiscal risks”, in a challenge to Andy Burnham as he prepares to take over as Prime Minister. The OECD, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, described the triple lock guarantee as “unusually generous [...]

  • Bank of England warns Burnham of UK economy’s ‘big issue’

    July 14, 2026

    The Bank of England has warned Andy Burnham that economic growth remains the “big issue” facing the UK economy as he prepares to take the keys to Number 10. Andrew Bailey, the central bank governor, told policymakers on Tuesday that the UK has had “low growth for the best part of 16 to 17 years”. [...]

  • Tale of two cities: London leaps ahead in global finance but domestic growth stalls

    July 3, 2026

    The City of London has cemented its dominance in international finance ten years on from the Brexit vote but faced sobering domestic growth that failed to match the momentum. The capital sees more international activity conducted than the next eight largest financial centres in Europe combined, according to a new report by New Financial. The [...]

  • As it happened: FTSE 100 and Wall Street hit by stock sell-off; CBI cuts UK GDP

    June 9, 2026

    Welcome back to the City AM liveblog. Rachel Reeves is staring down another bruising growth downgrade this morning after the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) slashed the UK’s GDP forecast to 1.1 per cent for the year. The figure is a drop from 1.4 per cent last year and below the previous consensus of 1.3 [...]

  • Rachel Reeves reforms ring-fencing in boost to Natwest and Lloyds

    May 18, 2026

    Rachel Reeves has handed a major boost to the likes of Natwest and Lloyds with an overhaul of the ring-fencing regime in hopes to free up capital to be invested into the UK. The Treasury has unveiled a shakeup of the 15-year-old legislation, which requires major banks to separate their retail banking operations from their [...]

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