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economic forecasts

  • Meet Reeves’ outsider tasked with steering the City to growth

    Banking

    The City has rolled out the red carpet for the banking watchdog’s new chief after Katharine Braddick, a seasoned veteran of the financial trenches, was named on Friday as the successor to Sam Woods. For a cool £314,000 a year, she’s set to take on the brief of steering the UK’s banking sector. Chancellor Rachel [...]

    Katharine Braddick appointed as new PRA chief, smiling confidently in business attire at press conference backdrop
  • Bank of England took ‘eye off ball on inflation’, says Jenrick

    Economics

    Robert Jenrick is set to make his first major pitch to the City, in his first major outing as Reform’s spokesman on Treasury matters. The Newark MP is expected to commit to the independence of the Bank of England but pledge to “strip the Bank of distractions which have been loaded onto it”. “We will [...]

    Business meeting with diverse professionals discussing a strategic plan, documents and laptops on the conference table
  • FTSE 100 Live: Unemployment rises; Debenhams’ £35m raise

    Markets

    Good morning and welcome back to the City AM liveblog. The UK unemployment rate has risen again this morning, with fresh data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showing the rate had surged to 5.2 per cent in the three months to December 2025. This was up from 5.1 per cent in the latest [...]

    Starmer and Reeves have caused huge damage to the UK economy
  • Gloomy Brits’ sluggish spending set to drag on economic growth

    February 16, 2026

    Brits continued to tighten their pockets in January as economists warned sluggish spend from consumers could trigger a “sustained drag on economic growth“. S&P Global’s latest Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI) showed a reading of 44.8, indicating further deterioration across household confidence with the figure remaining below the 50.0 mark that indicates neutrality. Whilst it crept [...]

  • GDP: UK faces ‘most dismal decade for growth in 100 years’

    February 12, 2026

    The UK economy had a minor expansion in the fourth quarter of 2025 coming a touch below expectations as an expected boost from the services sector failed to come to fruition. Fresh figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed the economy expanded a sluggish 0.1 per cent in three months to December 2025. [...]

  • Venezuela proves farce of political forecasting

    January 6, 2026

    If history teaches us anything, it's that political forecasters almost always get it wrong. Just look at Venezuela, writes Paul Ormerod.

  • Reeves accused of misleading country over ‘black hole’ in public finances

    November 28, 2025

    Rachel Reeves is in the firing line for “misleading the country” after the chair of the fiscal watchdog poured cold water over claims there was a black hole in public finances. In a new letter addressed to the chair of the Treasury select committee, the OBR chair Richard Hughes said he was taking the “unusual [...]

  • Interest rates to fall to 3.5 per cent City firm predicts

    February 27, 2025

    Paul Dales, chief UK economist at the City consultancy, said it was "very unusual" for the Bank of England to cut interest rates when inflation is expected to rise further even further above target.

  • Economists warn of tax hikes after borrowing blow

    February 21, 2025

    Figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that tax receipts fell short of expectations in January due to the sluggish performance of the UK economy.

  • Reeves faces tough choices as recession fears mount on UK downgrade

    February 12, 2025

    The watchdog will put together four more forecasts in the coming weeks, but the earliest draft suggests that Reeves will be facing a small deficit in March, Bloomberg reported.

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