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      How the Bank of England will read into outdated inflation data

      The Bank of England is expected to hold interest rates at four per cent due to stubbornly high inflation.

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Bank of England

  • Does Bank Rate really control inflation?

    September 26, 2025

    Despite the Bank of England’s claim that Bank Rate controls inflation, recent policy decisions — including cutting rates while inflation stayed high — suggest the relationship is weak, inflation is more persistent than expected, and the MPC may be underestimating how hard it is to bring prices down, says Paul Ormerod The Bank of England [...]

  • Farage confronts ‘dinosaur’ Bailey on Bank’s independence

    September 25, 2025

    Reform UK’s Nigel Farage and Richard Tice challenged Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey on Treasury losses from quantitative tightening (QT) at a showdown meeting on Thursday morning, with market instability partly caused by the programme and stablecoins regulation raised as subjects of discussion.  Farage and Tice sat down with the Bank of England Governor [...]

  • Bank of England’s Pill: We should not have slowed QT bond sales

    September 23, 2025

    The Bank of England’s chief economist has hit out at colleagues’ recent decision to slow sales of the central bank’s government debt stockpile, warning it risked papering over underlying drivers of spiking government borrowing costs and causing a “more painful” crisis in the future. In a speech delivered in Geneva, Huw Pill told delegates that [...]

  • Don’t rule out another rate cut this year

    September 23, 2025

    Many are assuming the Bank of England will hold rates for the rest of the year. But scratch the surface and there is a case for another move before year-end, says Martin Beck Most analysts reckon the Bank of England is done cutting rates in 2025, a consensus reinforced by the Bank’s decision today to [...]

  • Bank of England holds interest rates and slows down QT to £70bn

    September 18, 2025

    The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 7-2 to hold interest rates amid sticky inflation, with a decision to slow down its quantitative tightening (QT) process also made in light of febrile markets raising borrowing costs.  MPC members made a dual decision at its September meeting on interest rates and the sale of [...]

  • Hawks vs Doves: Bank of England’s MPC will hold interest rates – but expect dissent

    September 17, 2025

    In the last year, the Bank of England has cut interest rates five times on the expectation that price rises were easing in the UK.  When inflation hit a 41-year high of 11.1 per cent in October 2022, policymakers at the Bank warned that its fight to battle inflation was “sacrosanct”.  The relentless spiralling of [...]

  • Inflation: Brits ‘paying the price for years of poor economic management’

    September 17, 2025

    Inflation hit 3.8 per cent in the year to August, according to official data, sending a warning to Bank of England officials ahead of a crucial interest rate vote on Thursday.  The previous reading for inflation in July was 3.8 per cent, with the August figure likely to confirm Bank of England rate-setters will vote [...]

  • Firms continue to shed workers as jobs market deteriorates

    September 16, 2025

    The collapse of the UK jobs market has deepened, according to official data, undermining the Labour government’s goal to boost employment.  Firms continued to shed workers as the number of payrolled employees dropped by 6,000 in July, adding to a collapse of 142,000 over the year. Provisional estimates suggest there was a fall of 8,000 [...]

  • City AM Shadow MPC votes 8-1 to HOLD interest rates

    September 16, 2025

    Leading economists from academia and the City have voted 8-1 for interest rates to be held at four per cent in City AM’s Shadow Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) ahead of the Bank of England’s own decision this week.  Top analysts, who expressed views independently of their organisations, have said that stubborn inflation above the Bank [...]

  • Bank of England likely to slow down QT programme, Investec economist says

    September 15, 2025

    The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is likely to slow down its quantitative tightening (QT) programme over the next year, an Investec economist has said, as Britain’s central bank looks to quell concerns over rising gilt yields. “We doubt that the MPC will maintain the same pace of balance sheet reduction next year [...]

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