Why the Dow industrial and transportation divergence may be ominous October 9, 2012 Dow Theory is becoming hard to ignore. Created by Wall Street Journal founder Charles Dow, it suggests that divergences between the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA) and the Dow Jones Industrials Average (DJIA) indicate future trends in the economy. Deep divergences between the two could mean that the DJTA would prevail, and the DJIA (as [...]
Fresh wave of volatility may strike the euro October 9, 2012 C ONCERNS about Europe’s economic slowdown have put a halt to the euro’s surge upwards. Since summer lows, the single currency has risen against the dollar, recently testing the $1.30 level. But it has failed to convincingly stay above this level. In its biannual world economic outlook, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) revised its forecast [...]
South Africa’s woes hit the rand to lows October 9, 2012 FEARS that miners’ strikes are having an impact on the broader South African economy have dragged the rand down to three-year lows against the US dollar. With industrial action threatening to creep into other sectors, the outlook is bleak for the economy and is reflected in its currency. The rand is seen as a gauge [...]
FTSE falls as banks and miners hit by concerns over earnings outlook October 8, 2012 BRITISH blue chip shares dipped yesterday with growth-linked banks and miners hit by concerns about earnings and the global outlook, although analysts said the market’s uptrend would resume soon. UK banks fell 1.2 per cent, while mining stocks were down 0.4 per cent after the World Bank cut its growth forecasts for China and as [...]
US stocks fall in Columbus Day light trade October 8, 2012 US stocks slipped in light trading yesterday, pulling back from recent five-year highs ahead of an earnings season expected to be weak. Trading volume was the lowest so far this year in a full session as the US government and the bond market were closed for the Columbus Day holiday. About 4.1bn shares changed hands [...]
Pessimism will engulf US corporate earnings October 8, 2012 EARNINGS season is underway. This week, investors will learn about the health of some of the biggest US companies. There is an air of pessimism. According to analyst surveys, earnings last quarter are expected to drop 2.4 per cent, and we may see more losses reported than profits for the first time in four years. But [...]
America’s fiscal cliff may bring a new level of pain October 8, 2012 THE term “fiscal cliff” may have only been coined as a phrase by Ben Bernanke as recently as eight months ago, but it’s likely to be used more frequently as we head into the year-end. If US legislators fail to act, a combination of sharp tax hikes and public spending cuts could have the potential [...]
The Tipster | Chequered outlook for Burberry October 8, 2012 CONCERNS over a slowing global economy have affected Burberry’s performance in Asia, a key growth market for the luxury retailer. The stock, down 36 per cent from its all-time highs in April, has come under further pressure after the World Bank reduced growth forecasts in Asia. Capital Spreads quotes a price of 1,011.4p-1,013.6p for Burberry. [...]
Obama’s isn’t the only job at risk October 8, 2012 BARACK Obama’s re-election hopes were given a boost on Friday with a strong non-farm payroll print, coupled with a significantly improved unemployment rate. With less than a month until the US presidential elections on 6 November, the crucial employment survey gave the Obama camp an unbelievable fall in unemployment – falling to 7.8 per cent [...]
Analyst picks for 9 October 2012 October 8, 2012 CURRENCY STRATEGIST CHRIS VECCHIO My pick: Long New Zealand dollar-dollar Expertise: Combining fundamental and technical analysis Average time frame of trades: A few hours to a few days The Aussie-dollar long trade, after violently gyrating between gains and losses for two weeks, was closed for 100 pips: the surprise Reserve Bank of Australia rate cut [...]
