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Economics

  • UK government borrowing overshoots in Budget blow

    November 21, 2025

    UK government borrowing exceeded expectations in October, with benefits and public sector wages intensifying pressures on the public purse ahead of Rachel Reeves’ Budget next Wednesday.  The Office for National Statistics showed that public sector net borrowing had reached £17.4bn in the last set of public finances data that government officials will see before Wednesday’s [...]

  • Consumer confidence is ‘bleak’ ahead of Budget 

    November 21, 2025

    Consumer confidence has cratered ahead of the Budget according to a leading survey closely monitored by policymakers at the Treasury and Bank of England. The GfK consumer confidence barometer has shown the overall index falling to -19 in November, slightly lower than at the same time a year ago.  The survey of around 2,000 individuals [...]

  • High earners and entrepreneurs to get immigration rule carve-out

    November 20, 2025

    High earners and innovators are set to be handed softer rules on settled status despite an immigration crackdown led by home secretary Shabana Mahmood.  Under sweeping reforms to the legal migration system, Mahmood has revealed she is planning on only letting people arriving in the UK from 2021 to gain settled status, formally known as [...]

  • Manufacturing output plummets at fastest pace since pandemic

    November 20, 2025

    Manufacturing output in the three months to November dropped at the fastest pace since the pandemic, a new survey has found.  Researchers at the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) said that the balance reading for output volumes across industry was at the lowest level since the quarterly period to August 2020.  The weighted balance reading [...]

  • Budget chaos isn’t a game, it’s caused real harm

    November 20, 2025

    It’s been the longest run-up to a Budget anyone can remember, it started just after the last Budget, so how much damage has this chaos caused? In her first speech as Chancellor in the first week of July last year, Rachel Reeves used the word stability 8 times.  She pledged to “deliver economic stability” and [...]

  • Andy Burnham makes £1bn challenge to Starmer and Reeves before the Budget

    November 20, 2025

    Andy Burnham has revealed a £1bn growth plan for Manchester in a move which could be seen as a direct challenge to both Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer and Chancellor Rachel Reeves less than a week before the Budget. The Mayor of Greater Manchester has touted the proposals as a way to “pioneer a new [...]

  • Reeves’ Budget will fail to rescue public finances, top bank predicts

    November 19, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ upcoming Budget will not live up to market hopes of fiscal caution nor will it solve problems around high government expenditure, analysts at a leading City bank have warned. Reeves has said she intends to build a larger fiscal buffer than £9.9bn in order to “absorb shocks” next week while the Budget [...]

  • Inflation stays high in pre-Budget warning to Reeves

    November 19, 2025

    Inflation hit 3.6 per cent in the year to October, it has been revealed, in the last set of prices data Chancellor Rachel Reeves will see before a crucial Budget focused on curbing the cost of living. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said inflation cooled slightly from last month’s figure of 3.8 per cent, [...]

  • Markets will determine whether Reeves has any credibility left

    November 19, 2025

    It’s a regrettable reality that a politician – or an entire government – can limp on for months or even years after losing credibility in the eyes of voters. In contrast, when markets think the credibility is gone the consequences can be much more immediate. Just ask Liz Truss. One week from today, the Chancellor’s [...]

  • Recession fears as insolvencies creep up amid construction woes

    November 18, 2025

    The number of insolvencies crept up in October, official data has shown, amid further pressures on the construction industry and worries that Budget measures may sound the death knell for struggling companies.  Data released by the Insolvency Service showed a 1.7 per cent month-on-month rise in insolvencies.  On a year-on-year basis, official numbers show insolvencies [...]

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