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Economics

  • UK recession is ‘real possibility’ as Reeves meets City analysts 

    March 24, 2026

    The UK economy faces a “real possibility” of falling into a recession, a City economist has warned, as Chancellor Rachel Reeves and pensions minister Torsten Bell met with gilt analysts to discuss the shock from the war in the Middle East.  The Chancellor invited top economists from firms key to the gilt markets to the [...]

  • ‘Crossroads’: Oil prices hold firm as markets sour on Trump’s peace talks

    March 24, 2026

    The price of oil held firm on Tuesday morning as markets faced a “crossroads” following the latest bait-and-switch from President Trump amid the crisis in the Middle East. Brent crude, the international benchmark for oil, broke $100 again in early trading in Asia after a four per cent gain. Prices have dipped a touch but [...]

  • FTSE 100 Live: Stocks dip; Reeves give energy update as oil prices jump

    March 24, 2026

    Good morning and welcome back to the City AM liveblog. Oil is back on the rise this morning following a series of mixed messages on Monday that brought forward a day of whiplash for global markets. The trading session started with nosedives into the red as markets digested President Trump’s 48 hour ultimatum on Iran, [...]

  • UK must learn lessons from this crisis – starting with energy policy

    March 24, 2026

    Has the US brought Iran to heel? Or has Iran discovered it has the upper hand? These are urgent questions and the world waits with bated breath for clear answers. Trump claims Iran approached the US, seeking a deal to end the war, and while the Iranians deny this it seems likely that contact has [...]

  • UK must ‘urgently’ reopen North Sea drilling amid global volatility

    March 24, 2026

    Households and businesses will be left even more exposed to geopolitical shocks like the one playing out in the Middle East unless the government “urgently” reopens the UK’s North Sea oil fields to new drilling projects, an industry body has warned. In its annual temperature check of Britain’s energy industry, Offshore Energies UK (OEUK) called [...]

  • Manic Monday: How Trump rocked global markets

    March 23, 2026

    President Donald Trump sent global markets on a rollercoaster ride as traders were left stunned by mixed messages coming from the US administration and the Iranian regime. The Brent Crude oil price was trading around $114 per barrel before Trump said in a post on Truth Social that he was pausing strikes due to “productive” [...]

  • Starmer admits defence upgrade doesn’t have enough funding

    March 23, 2026

    Sir Keir Starmer has admitted the government’s proposed defence plan does not have enough as he vowed to “resolve” the rift between the Treasury and the Ministry of Defence. The Prime Minister admitted a target to raise spending on defence from 2.5 per cent of GDP in 2027 to 3.5 per cent in 2035 required [...]

  • How the Bank of England will read into outdated inflation data

    March 23, 2026

    Can data be redundant? The Office for National Statistics will this week give the impression that inflation is stable. Economists have predicted the consumer price index inflation print for the year to February to come in at three per cent, like last month, which would have otherwise made for satisfactory reading. But the figures precede [...]

  • Trump’s call to pause strikes in Iran boosts markets

    March 23, 2026

    Global markets leaped on news that President Trump paused strikes on Iranian infrastructure as he hinted that negotiations had been “very good and productive”. Brent crude – the international benchmark for oil prices – plunged back to below $100 per barrle after having jumped to $112 earlier in the day. The FTSE 100 also rose [...]

  • Starmer vows to use ‘every lever’ to protect Brits from damage to UK economy 

    March 23, 2026

    Sir Keir Starmer has vowed to use “every lever” to prevent households from being hit by higher energy prices amid growing fears the Iran war is wreaking havoc on the UK economy.  On Monday morning, the Prime Minister suggested an emergency Cobra meeting between the most senior government ministers and the Bank of England governor [...]

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