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Economics

  • Bank of England could cut interest rates ‘if war ends’ 

    April 15, 2026

    The Bank of England could cut interest rates this year if the war in Iran ends and the Strait of Hormuz opens up within weeks, an economist at a City broker has said.   Peel Hunt’s chief economist Kallum Pickering’s current assumption is that the Bank makes two interest rate cuts at the end of this [...]

  • Bank of England: Andrew Bailey warns AI models could ‘crack’ cyber systems 

    April 15, 2026

    Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey has warned that a new AI model designed by a Silicon Valley company could “crack” cybersecurity systems, adding that the the technology poses a continuous challenge for key institutions.  Speaking at an event in New York, Bailey suggested Mythos Claude, which was created by Anthropic, presented a threat to [...]

  • FTSE 100 Live: Stocks jittery as Trump eyes Iran ‘grand bargain’; Reeves to meet Bessent

    April 15, 2026

    Good morning and welcome back to the City AM liveblog. Hopes of peace talks in the Middle East were back on the table this morning, though markets weren’t holding there breathe after weeks of bait-and-switches. Donald Trump described the war with Iran as “close to over” during an interview with Fox news. “I think it’s [...]

  • IMF: Middle East war risks sparking government debt doom loop

    April 14, 2026

    Ballooning levels of government debt have left the global economy dangerously exposed to the aftereffects of the Middle East war, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which warned a fresh wave of inflation could trigger a historic bond crisis. In its latest Financial Stability Report, the financial body said that countries’ inability to rein [...]

  • IMF slaps UK with biggest growth downgrade of any G7 country 

    April 14, 2026

    The UK economy has suffered the biggest growth forecast downgrade of any country in the G7 in the International Monetary Fund’s spring economic outlook report, dealing a blow to Chancellor Rachel Reeves as she struggles to overcome setbacks sparked by the Iran war. Growth this year was revised down by 0.5 percentage points as trade [...]

  • Wall Street bankers’ bonuses leapfrog City in ‘less impressive’ year

    April 14, 2026

    Wall Street bankers have leapfrogged ahead of the City as the industry’s swelling bonus pot proved “far less impressive” than prior expectations. In the US, the average bonus scored was $154,344 (£114,00) in 2025, marking a 5.85 per cent uplift from the year prior. This also topped the industry average growth of 4.4 per cent. [...]

  • ‘Vandalism’: Reeves and Starmer slammed over defence spending

    April 14, 2026

    Rachel Reeves and Sir Keir Starmer have been slammed for a failure to provide defence with a substantial cash injection as a former Nato secretary general said an “ever-expanding welfare budget” would not keep the UK secure.  Downing Street has come under fire for its delay in setting out a clear timeline for an uplift [...]

  • FTSE 100 Live: Stocks uneven as Trump’s Strait of Hormuz blockade begins

    April 14, 2026

    Good morning and welcome back to the City AM liveblog. Markets were rocked yesterday by the US’ blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, adding a new layer of tensions to the weeks-long conflict in the Middle East. Vice-President JD Vance has accused the Iranian government of engaging in an “act of economic terrorism” through its [...]

  • High street spending gets ‘much-needed boost’ but cost alert sent to shoppers

    April 14, 2026

    High street spending in March remained robust though travel companies suffered from holidaymakers’ fears about organising a trip to the Middle East, research has suggested.   Retail surveys have suggested that high street shops were boosted by shoppers’ Easter hunt for food, computers and toys last month. Research by the British Retail Consortium (BRC) suggested that [...]

  • Starmer fears ‘untold damage’ to UK economy from Iran war 

    April 13, 2026

    Sir Keir Starmer has warned that the impacts of the Iran war will be “significant” as he insisted the government’s central position was to stay out of the conflict.  Starmer told MPs on Monday that the main war in Iran, which lasted over a month before a ceasefire was announced last week, had already harmed [...]

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