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Economics

  • UK to shake off mild recession by end of this year, City analyst predicts

    January 16, 2023

    The UK economy will experience a very mild recession and could be out of it by the end of this year, a top City economist has forecast. International energy prices have marched back down the steep hill they climbed after Russian president Vladimir Putin sent troops into Ukraine in February last year. On some measures, [...]

  • Global business elite ready to pour cash into UK, defying recession warnings

    January 16, 2023

    The world’s business elite are set to pump billions of pounds into the UK economy, defying experts forecasting the country is on course for its toughest recession in a century, a new report out today reveals. The proportion of more than 4,400 global chief executives in 105 countries surveyed by consultancy PwC identifying the UK [...]

  • FTSE 100 close: London index makes tracks to record high as world elite meet in Davos amid recession fears

    January 16, 2023

    London’s FTSE 100 made more tracks toward its record high today, extending a bullish start to 2023. The capital’s premier index jumped 0.2 per cent to 7,860.08 points, while the domestically-focused mid-cap FTSE 250 index, which is more aligned with the health of the UK economy, climbed 0.65 per cent to close above the 20,000 [...]

  • Saving: Reforms needed to extend benefits of UK tax breaks beyond wealthier ‘top 10 per cent’

    January 16, 2023

    A shake-up of incentives to help people save is needed to help more households build resilience against financial shocks, according to a think tank. The struggle to save is a particular problem for low to middle-income households, with those in the bottom half of the income distribution typically having £3,000 of savings per adult, the [...]

  • London outperforms UK economy again in sign capital could swerve recession

    January 16, 2023

    London is outperforming the nationwide economy, indicating the capital is on course to avoid what experts think will be a long recession in the UK, a new survey out today shows. An index of business output in London compiled by NatWest jumped to 50.2 last month, up from 48.2, meaning the capital’s economy is growing. [...]

  • House prices back on upward march to race past £667,000 in London

    January 16, 2023

    House prices are back on an upward march, sending the cost of the average home in London to over £667,000, a new survey out today shows. Search site Rightmove said today house prices in the capital jumped 0.2 per cent over the last month and 6.1 per cent annually. On a nationwide basis, prices climbed [...]

  • What could a recession mean for the pound in 2023? City analysts have their say

    January 15, 2023

    The pound is on course for another tough year with the UK likely experiencing the worst recession of all major economies, analysts have told City A.M. The risk of sterling tumbling to another record low against the US dollar, as it did last year, is slim, analysts think, mainly due to the low likelihood of [...]

  • Recession to end City’s legal sector pay war, recruiters warn

    January 15, 2023

    A drop in legal sector revenues is likely see the end of the pay war that has played out between the City’s top law firms over the past two years, legal sector recruiters have said. Falling revenues off the back of a slowdown in new business will likely see lawyers’ salaries plateau or even go [...]

  • Week ahead: First data dump of 2023 to reveal whether UK tipped into recession

    January 15, 2023

    The first big data dump of 2023 in the coming week is set to unveil more clues on whether the UK economy entered a recession in the final months of last year. City traders are hoping fresh inflation figures out on Wednesday from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) will show price pressures are still [...]

  • UK economy shockingly grows in November on back of World Cup pub boost, raising hopes of shallow recession

    January 13, 2023

    The UK economy expanded in November, smashing downbeat market expectations and signalling the coming recession could be short lived, official figures out today reveal. Gross domestic product (GDP) climbed 0.1 per cent in November, defying analysts’ bets on a 0.2 per cent contraction, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said today. The expansion was driven [...]

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