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Economics

  • Inflation falls below two per cent for first time since April 2021

    October 16, 2024

    September's inflation figures come a day after official data showed a further easing in wage growth, which bolstered bets that the Bank would cut interest rates in November.

  • When it comes to national insurance, the government is pulling a fast one

    October 16, 2024

    One of the many problems the government has got itself into over tax rises that may or may not appear in the upcoming Budget is an oversimplification of where the cost of a certain tax falls. Ministers and their supporters talk about Capital Gains Tax as if it only lands on rich people selling off [...]

  • IMF predicts global debt to surpass $100 trillion this year

    October 15, 2024

    In its latest fiscal monitor, the international fiscal watchdog said that public debt had spiralled post-pandemic, as governments increasingly embraced spending to stimulate economic growth.

  • Despite falling unemployment, a November rate cut looks almost certain

    October 15, 2024

    The figures showed that regular pay growth was at its lowest level since June 2022 while pay growth including bonuses dropped to its lowest level since November 2020.

  • Capital gains hike in the Budget could push landlords out of the market

    October 15, 2024

    In a paper published back in 2022, Capital Economics, a leading economic consultancy, predicted that hiking CGT would actually cost the Treasury.

  • Wage growth eases again in boost for rate cut hopes

    October 15, 2024

    Strong wage growth has been a concern for policymakers at the Bank of England due to fears that it could keep cost pressures elevated, particularly in the labour-intensive services sector.

  • Labour must iron out the kinks in its industrial strategy

    October 15, 2024

    Labour's draft industrial strategy is a good start, but there are a few tensions that need to be resolved, Chris Dorrell writes

  • ‘Quaint’ Budget not the main focus for City traders this autumn

    October 15, 2024

    Investors have pointed to rising gilt yields as a sign that markets are getting increasingly jittery as the Budget approaches.

  • Introduce inheritance tax bands to make system fairer, think tank says

    October 14, 2024

    Demos said these changes would support the government's objective of lowering the tax burden on working people while also making the system "more progressive".

  • UK business confidence stands at nine-year high – but signs of unease emerge

    October 14, 2024

    UK business confidence has hit a nine-year high in 2024, according to a closely-watched survey, although firms' economic optimism dipped ahead of expected tax hikes in the Budget.

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