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Economics

  • US likely to fall into recession under Trump, top economist warns

    December 9, 2024

    The US is likely to fall into recession during Donald Trump’s second term if he makes good on his campaign promises, a leading economist has predicted. Paul Mortimer-Lee, a research fellow at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), said growth in the world’s largest economy could slump if the president-elect follows through [...]

  • Job vacancies collapse as Budget tax raid puts firms off hiring, survey shows

    December 9, 2024

    The latest report on jobs from KPMG and the REC showed an "accelerated decline" in the number of people placed in permanent roles by recruiters.

  • Business confidence drops at fastest pace for over three years

    December 9, 2024

    The optimism index dropped 5.8 points to 93.49 in November, which was the largest monthly fall since August 2021.

  • Starmer to visit Gulf states as he strives to deepen trade ties

    December 7, 2024

    Keir Starmer will strive to strengthen trade ties with Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) in his first trip to the Persian Gulf as prime minister. The PM will meet UAE president Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed and Saudi Arabia’s crown prince Mohammed bin Salman on Monday, after flying to the Gulf on Sunday [...]

  • Fed gets ‘green light’ for another interest rate cut following jobs report

    December 6, 2024

    The latest jobs report showed that the world's largest economy added 227,000 jobs last month, slightly ahead of the 200,000 expected by economists.

  • Will Keir Starmer meet his pledge to improve living standards?

    December 5, 2024

    Before the General Election Labour was proudly proclaiming its commitment to generating economic growth. The first ‘mission’ in the party’s manifesto was to secure the highest sustained growth rate in the G7. After Keir Starmer’s speech earlier today, that mission has been downgraded to an ‘aim’. The new pledge, heavily trailed before the speech, is [...]

  • Firms set to hike prices, reduce pay and cut staff, Bank of England survey shows

    December 5, 2024

    More than half of firms surveyed by the Bank of England expect to raise prices in response to the Budget.

  • Slump in housebuilding casts doubt on government’s new homes pledge

    December 5, 2024

    Tim Moore, economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said housebuilding was suffering from a "sustained downturn".

  • Businesses will ‘lick their wounds’ after Budget, even if growth picks up

    December 5, 2024

    The BCC said the upgrades were driven by "increased levels of government spending" following the Budget.

  • Bank of England: Andrew Bailey names ‘biggest issue’ after Budget tax hikes

    December 4, 2024

    "How companies balance the mixture of prices, wages, the level of employment, what is taken on margin, is an important judgement for us," he said.

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