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Economics

  • Hawks vs Doves: Bank of England’s MPC will hold interest rates – but expect dissent

    September 17, 2025

    In the last year, the Bank of England has cut interest rates five times on the expectation that price rises were easing in the UK.  When inflation hit a 41-year high of 11.1 per cent in October 2022, policymakers at the Bank warned that its fight to battle inflation was “sacrosanct”.  The relentless spiralling of [...]

  • Inflation: Brits ‘paying the price for years of poor economic management’

    September 17, 2025

    Inflation hit 3.8 per cent in the year to August, according to official data, sending a warning to Bank of England officials ahead of a crucial interest rate vote on Thursday.  The previous reading for inflation in July was 3.8 per cent, with the August figure likely to confirm Bank of England rate-setters will vote [...]

  • ‘Exhausting’ house buying process damaging the economy, says Santander

    September 17, 2025

    The UK’s outdated house buying process and rate of failed transactions are costing the economy at least £1.5bn a year, one of Britain’s biggest high street banks has warned. According to a report from Santander UK, over half a million failed housing transactions are costing consumers £560m directly, with some costs, including the costs of [...]

  • OBR ‘downgrades productivity’ in major pre-Budget blow to Rachel Reeves

    September 16, 2025

    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has reportedly told Chancellor Rachel Reeves that it will downgrade productivity forecasts for the UK economy, blowing a hole in the public finances and making tax hikes all but guaranteed at this year’s November Budget.  In another setback for the Labour government, the OBR has informed the Treasury that [...]

  • Rachel Reeves hosts Scott Bessent and finance execs for investment talks

    September 16, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves hosted US Treasury secretary Scott Bessent and top dogs from most of the world’s biggest finance firms in a warm-up event ahead of President Donald Trump’s UK arrival on Tuesday evening.  City firms including Barclays, HSBC and Revolut sent representatives to Downing Street, where they were joined by bosses from top Wall [...]

  • Donald Trump to Keir Starmer’s rescue – or torment? 

    September 16, 2025

    President Donald Trump will look out of Air Force One’s windows to see England’s green and pleasant land before arriving this afternoon. He will surely be giddy with excitement about his meeting with the King and a very royal carriage procession inside Windsor Castle’s grounds tomorrow. He will also be pleased to see his unlikely [...]

  • State pension to rise by £560 in extra costs to Treasury

    September 16, 2025

    The state pension is set to rise by more than £560 from April as wage growth figures used to calculate the increase will make the elderly the “big winner” from today’s economic data in another extra cost to Rachel Reeves. The triple lock uprating policy, which was introduced 15 years ago, means the pension increases [...]

  • University funding crisis spreads to wider economy

    September 16, 2025

    UK universities are facing mounting funding crisis that is affecting the country’s wider economy – with regions like Wales and the North East more at risk. According to new analysis from Oxford Economics, universities added £80bn in gross value added (GVA) to the economy and supported 1.2m jobs in 2024, including staff directly employed by [...]

  • Firms continue to shed workers as jobs market deteriorates

    September 16, 2025

    The collapse of the UK jobs market has deepened, according to official data, undermining the Labour government’s goal to boost employment.  Firms continued to shed workers as the number of payrolled employees dropped by 6,000 in July, adding to a collapse of 142,000 over the year. Provisional estimates suggest there was a fall of 8,000 [...]

  • City AM Shadow MPC votes 8-1 to HOLD interest rates

    September 16, 2025

    Leading economists from academia and the City have voted 8-1 for interest rates to be held at four per cent in City AM’s Shadow Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) ahead of the Bank of England’s own decision this week.  Top analysts, who expressed views independently of their organisations, have said that stubborn inflation above the Bank [...]

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