Goldman Sachs cuts UK growth forecast following Trump’s election victory November 6, 2024 The investment bank warned that Trump's proposed tariffs would have a noticeable impact on economic growth in European economies next year.
Bank of England and Fed to cut interest rates despite fiscal fears November 6, 2024 The Bank held rates at its last meeting in September, but signalled that further cuts were on the way if there continued to be progress on inflation.
UK economy at risk of higher inflation and slower growth due to Trump tariffs November 6, 2024 During the election campaign, Trump threatened to increase tariffs on foreign imports by between 10-20 per cent while also placing 60 per cent tariffs on Chinese goods.
Housebuilding woes ahead of Budget weigh on construction activity November 6, 2024 Having reached a 29-month high in September, S&P's construction purchasing managers' index (PMI) "slowed considerably" last month.
Government ‘would breach fiscal rules with minor rate rise’ November 5, 2024 The Chancellor would be in breach of her own fiscal rules if interest rates remain just 30 basis points higher than the fiscal watchdog forecasts, Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) economists have said. Giving evidence to the Treasury Committee, OBR member Tom Josephs told MPs that his colleagues conducted analysis that found “a change of [...]
Why the Budget complicates life for the Bank of England November 5, 2024 Just when it seemed that inflation was finally coming under control, the government has announced a big increase in public spending.
Top economists cast doubt on Reeves’ Budget growth pledge November 4, 2024 Top economists are split on whether last week's Budget will deliver a boost to the UK economy over the next five years, a City AM poll has revealed, as the Chancellor tries to calm markets.
Bank of England set to lower interest rates as Budget dampens bets for 2025 November 3, 2024 The Bank of England is expected to lower interest rates this week, while markets are betting on fewer cuts next year after forecasts suggested the new government's first Budget will push up inflation.
US reports worst jobs growth since December 2020 November 1, 2024 The US has reported its worst jobs growth since December 2020, as only 12,000 new jobs were added to the economy during September. This was significantly below the 113,000 forecast by analysts, leaving economists describing the numbers as “weak”. However, unemployment held steady at 4.1 per cent, while average hourly earnings rose 0.4 per cent [...]
Eurozone inflation rises faster than expected in October October 31, 2024 New 'flash' figures from Eurostat showed that inflation rose back up to 2.0 per cent, rising from 1.7 per cent in September and slightly higher than markets had expected.