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Economics

  • MPC member: Trump tariffs won’t push UK inflation higher

    March 27, 2025

    Interest rate-setter Swati Dhingra has suggested that President Donald Trump’s tariffs are unlikely to move UK inflation measures despite taking a toll on growth.  The Bank of England held its interest rates at 4.5 per cent last week. External member Dhingra voted alone in favour of a cut in an 8-1 decision.   Speaking at [...]

  • The Spring Statement takes us back to square one

    March 27, 2025

    It might not have been a Budget, but the Chancellor may well wish that it had been. Constrained by her fiscal rules and her own insistence that yesterday’s statement would not constitute a major event, Rachel Reeves was left shuffling the few cards she held in search of a better hand. The search was in [...]

  • Spring Statement 2025: ‘Very small’ headroom risks getting erased again, OBR warns

    March 26, 2025

    Rachel Reeves faces the prospect of her newly-restored fiscal headroom being wiped out again ahead of the Autumn budget, raising the spectre of fresh take hikes in the future as she battles sluggish growth and economic headwinds. The Chancellor had previously left herself £9.9bn of headroom but the OBR calculated the UK was in fact [...]

  • Spring Statement 2025: OBR slashes growth forecast

    March 26, 2025

    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has slashed its growth forecast in half to one per cent as Chancellor Rachel Reeves said she was “not happy” about the revised figures.  Reeves has insisted that high growth is key to Labour’s mission in government, while Prime Minister Keir Starmer has previously suggested that it is aiming for a rate [...]

  • Mid-sized firms ‘considering leaving UK’ as pressure on Reeves heats up

    March 26, 2025

    Around a third of mid-sized businesses are considering leaving the UK in the next two years, a new survey has suggested, as Chancellor Rachel Reeves faces intense pressure to make business-friendly announcements at the Spring Statement.  The Treasury is set to unlock fresh funding for the construction sector with up to £600m to be spent [...]

  • UK inflation undershoots expectations in February

    March 26, 2025

    Inflation hit 2.8 per cent in the year to February, pointing to a fragile UK economy as Chancellor Rachel Reeves prepares to deliver her Spring Statement this afternoon. The Bank of England last week held interest rates at 4.5 per cent as inflation has remained high amid escalating trade tensions and incoming tax rises. Now [...]

  • If the world really has changed, Chancellor, then drop your tax hikes

    March 26, 2025

    Rachel Reeves has one of the most demanding, high profile and exhausting jobs in the country, and so – at the very least – we should forgive her for taking some freebie tickets to a Sabrina Carpenter concert. She’s had very few good weeks since entering office and the least she deserves is a good [...]

  • Spring Statement 2025: What is it – and when will Rachel Reeves speak?

    March 25, 2025

    Chancellor Rachel Reeves is set to update MPs on the state of the UK economy and make a range of economic policy announcements on Wednesday afternoon at the Spring Statement.  She is also set to give updates on the government’s plan to go “further and faster” on delivering growth. The Spring Statement will come as [...]

  • UK consumer confidence is tanking warns KPMG

    March 25, 2025

    Three in five Brits believe the UK economy is worsening, a new survey by KPMG has shown, as Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ Spring Statement risks failing to lift people’s spirits.  Reeves is set to announce policies aimed at economic business confidence at her Spring Statement on Wednesday but a new survey suggests consumers are increasingly downbeat [...]

  • Reeves crosses her fingers and hopes for growth

    March 25, 2025

    Ahead of last October’s Budget, ministers allowed months of speculation as to what would be unveiled, and the never-ending drumbeat of doom and gloom talked the economy to a standstill. Largely as a result of the contents and consequences of that Budget, economic growth has since evaporated and now all eyes are on this week’s [...]

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