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Economics

  • Andrew Bailey: Surveys point to weak UK economy 

    June 3, 2025

    Andrew Bailey has backed the Bank of England’s low growth outlook, highlighting dreary business surveys which indicate the UK economy looks set to weaken.  In an appearance in front of the Treasury Select Committee, the Bank Governor said growth of 0.7 per cent in the first quarter of the year was a “good number” but [...]

  • Nato to pressure UK to spend 3.5 per cent on defence

    June 3, 2025

    The UK will have to spend 3.5 per cent of GDP on defence by 2035 as part of a new Nato demand, according to reports, stretching government expenditure far beyond the current 2.5 per cent commitment made by Keir Starmer.  The Labour government has agreed to increase defence spending to 2.5 per cent from 2027, [...]

  • Foreign companies drive £19bn M&A surge as UK firms ‘attractively valued’

    June 3, 2025

    Takeovers of British firms reached the highest level in nearly three years as several multi-billion pound transactions made by foreign companies pushed up the value of mergers and acquisitions (M&A), official data has shown.  Inward M&A deals in the first three months of the year exceeded £19bn, nearly four times that seen in the last [...]

  • Bank of England warns pace of rate cuts ‘shrouded in uncertainty’

    June 3, 2025

    The pace of UK interest rate cuts is “shrouded in a lot more uncertainty” due to the “unpredictable” global economic situation, the governor of the Bank of England has said. Andrew Bailey told MPs during a Treasury Committee session that while rates are on a “glide path” downwards the Bank had “genuine concerns” about escalating [...]

  • OECD: Rachel Reeves’ ‘insufficient’ fiscal headroom poses risk to UK economy

    June 3, 2025

    The OECD has warned Rachel Reeves’ wafer thin fiscal headroom poses a significant risk to the UK economy as it cut its growth outlook for Britain in 2025 and 2026. The economic organisation urged the Treasury to “step up” efforts to bolster its “very thin” fiscal headroom, expressing concern that it could cause “significant downside [...]

  • Reeves’ tax raids and tariff woes strain UK manufacturers 

    June 2, 2025

    British manufacturers continued to struggle in May, despite a surprise minor uptick, as tax hikes and tariffs weighed on firms. S&P Global’s latest PMI survey, which asks around 600 industrial companies about their performance, revealed manufacturers were still battling a tirade of challenges. The latest figure edged up to 46.4 in May, compared to 45.4 [...]

  • Rachel Reeves to set ‘binding’ pensions allocations in megafunds launch

    May 29, 2025

    Rachel Reeves has confirmed plans to set “binding” allocations in pension funds as the government prepares for the launch of “megafunds” to encourage fresh investment into UK infrastructure and businesses. The Treasury said it would “take a reserve power” in the upcoming Pension Schemes Bill “to set binding asset allocation targets,” a move it said [...]

  • Which taxes could Rachel Reeves raise in the Autumn Budget

    May 29, 2025

    Rising borrowing costs, u-turns on spending cuts and a wafer-thin fiscal headroom all point to one thing: Chancellor Rachel Reeves is widely expected to put up taxes later in the year. But given Labour’s manifesto commitment to avoid tax rises on “working people”, and the pain felt by businesses over National Insurance hikes, many are [...]

  • Reeves’ tax raids crush business confidence – but worst is yet to come

    May 29, 2025

    Business confidence plummeted in the three months to May as Rachel Reeves’ tax hikes took hold and firms have warned more pain is to come. Consumer services’ optimism marked its eight consecutive month of decline at -42 per cent, whilst levels of business value plunged to -56 per cent. This was down from -44 per [...]

  • HMRC review signals potential pension tax changes in Autumn

    May 28, 2025

    Rachel Reeves could target pension savers in fresh tax grab as the Chancellor looks for additional ways to fund the government’s ballooning spending. His Majesty’s Revenue and Customs (HMRC) has published research as part of an official review of workplace retirement schemes, exploring cuts to the tax benefits of salary sacrifice pension schemes.  The schemes, [...]

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