As recession fears fade following strong services PMIs, was the Bank of England wrong to cut interest rates post-Brexit? September 5, 2016 Andrew Sentance, senior economic adviser to PwC and a former member of the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee, says Yes. Very low interest rates have been with us since 2009, but the Bank of England’s latest stimulus package has had a dramatic impact on long-term investment returns. Twenty-year UK government bond yields are now just over 1 [...]
Delaying the inevitable: How long can central banks extend the credit cycle? September 5, 2016 Calling the end of the current credit cycle is becoming an increasingly popular sport among seasoned market-watchers. While there is division over exactly when it will conclude, the consensus is it will be soon. Last week, Deutsche Bank analysts came to the conclusion that they were “not quite ready to call the end of the [...]
Extension of quantitative easing “close call” for ECB September 5, 2016 The European Central Bank (ECB) faces a tough decision this week as it decides whether to unleash a new bout of monetary stimulus to support the Eurozone. ECB ratesetters will gather in Frankfurt on Thursday, with markets divided as to when president Mario Draghi will announce a hotly-anticipated extension to the Bank's €80bn (£67bn) a month [...]
Bank of Japan paves the way for more monetary stimulus September 5, 2016 Bank of Japan (BoJ) chief Haruhiko Kuroda has insisted he has plenty of ammunition left to fire up the Japanese economy in a robust defence of the Bank's twin policies of negative interest rates and quantitative easing. In a defiant speech early this morning, Kuroda said the BoJ had "ample room for more monetary policy easing", insisted "new ideas should [...]
New car sales accelerated in August as the fleet sector stayed strong September 5, 2016 The UK's car buyers went haywire for hatchbacks and crazy for convertibles last month, figures published today have shown. The report, by the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), showed new car registrations rose 3.3 per cent year on year in August – up from a measly 0.1 per cent rise in July. Some [...]
Experts warn UK North Sea corporation tax is still too high September 5, 2016 One of the world's leading petroleum economists has warned that the rate of corporation tax for North Sea oil and gas companies is still too high and "far above" that of its competitors. North Sea oil and gas companies pay a special rate of corporation tax at 30 per cent. In the March budget, tumbling oil [...]
Pound bounces as services sector storms back to growth in August September 5, 2016 The pound jumped against the dollar in early trading in London after new figures showed the UK's most dominant sector stormed back into growth in August. Markit's purchasing managers' index for the UK services sector hit 52.9 in August, against expectations of 50.0, and up from July's 89-month low of 47.4. Considering any figure below 50 suggests [...]
O2 could IPO as soon as this year September 5, 2016 Mobile network O2 could IPO as soon as this year, its owner Telefonica has revealed, after its sale to Hutchison and merger with Three was blocked by the EU. The Spanish firm's chairman Maria Alvarez-Pallete said: “We have been working to list it, so if today or in the next few weeks we decided to do so, we [...]
The chancellor’s fiscal reset is a golden opportunity to slash living costs through tax cuts and planning reform September 5, 2016 Philip Hammond recently said that he may use the Autumn Statement to “reset” fiscal policy. That is a welcome sentiment because it suggests the chancellor sees before him a golden opportunity to transform the tax system. With Parliament returning, we are likely to see the government start to formulate and publicise more detailed economic policy [...]
London job openings at lowest level since January after Brexit vote September 4, 2016 The London jobs market could be showing signs of a post-referendum slowdown, according to a tracker of nationwide job vacancies. While the number of vacancies was up by 7.7 per cent in August compared to last year, online recruitment firm Reed.co.uk found London was being dragged down by a crunch in the number of high-paying [...]