ECB expected to hike rates to a record four per cent as central bank struggles to tame inflation February 28, 2023 The European Central Bank (ECB) will hike interest rates to their highest level since the monetary authority of the group of countries using the euro was created in 1999, markets are betting. President Christine Lagarde and the rest of the governing council, Europe’s equivalent to the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee, are poised to [...]
Why is the UK economy poised to tumble into a recession and fall behind Europe, US and even Russia? February 16, 2023 Britain avoided a much-tipped recession at the end of last year. Phew. “However, we are not out of the woods yet,” warned Chancellor Jeremy Hunt after last Friday’s GDP figures from the ONS revealed the economy stagnated at the end of 2022, meaning it narrowly avoided the technical recession definition of two consecutive quarters of [...]
Ireland to keep European economy out of a recession as Britain gets left behind February 13, 2023 Europe is poised to swerve a recession this year in a massive U-turn from warnings of blackouts sweeping across the bloc, with GDP powered by Ireland, new forecasts out today claim. Growth in the European Union (EU) will hit 0.8 per cent this year, an upgrade from the just 0.3 per cent forecast last autumn, [...]
European Central Bank kicks rates 50 points higher and signals more such hikes to come February 2, 2023 The European Central Bank (ECB) today hiked interest rates 50 basis points and signalled further such increases are coming this year. The monetary authority of the 19 countries using the euro kicked rates higher to tame inflation, which last year hit the highest level since the creation of the common currency back in 1999. Borrowing [...]
German inflation bungle takes shine off euro figures as ECB remains committed to aggressive rate hikes February 1, 2023 Inflation in the eurozone fell again last month but experts have warned the drop will not convince the European Central Bank (ECB) to stop hiking interest rates aggressively. The rate of price increases among the group of 19 countries using the euro dropped to 8.5 per cent annually, down from 9.2 per cent, according to [...]
Euro economy pulls ahead of UK reinforcing IMF dire recession warning January 31, 2023 The UK is trailing its European economic peers, fresh figures out today reveal, reinforcing the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) warning that it will be the only rich country to contract this year. The eurozone economy – made up of the 19 countries that use the common currency – unexpectedly grew 0.1 per cent in the [...]
When will the Bank of England, Federal Reserve and ECB start cutting interest rates? Sooner than you think January 31, 2023 Central banks around the world this year are going to take their lead from an unlikely source: the Bank of Canada. While being the central bank of a G7 country, it’s not exactly the biggest of players in the global monetary policy and financial network. Tiff Macklem, the BoC’s chief, has led one of the [...]
Germany teetering on edge of recession that risks dragging rest of Europe down with it January 30, 2023 Germany is teetering on the edge of a recession after fresh figures out today revealed its economy unexpectedly contracted in the final months of last year. German output dropped 0.2 per cent over the last quarter, below the flatline consensus forecast by investors. The shock GDP undershoot raises the risk that the wider eurozone economy [...]
Will the global economy avoid a recession? Some people think so January 24, 2023 The global economy will narrowly avoid a recession this year due to China dismantling its zero Covid policy, forecasters have predicted today. A boost from the world’s second biggest economy re-entering the global community is set to power world GDP 1.9 per cent this year, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Beijing’s surprise scrapping of [...]
UK economy stumbles behind Euro peers as risk of recession gathers pace January 24, 2023 The UK economy is falling further behind its international rivals and experts, according to a closely watched survey. The survey by economists has revealed Britain’s services industry, which generates about £2 in every £3 in the country, is shrinking at the fastest pace in two years. S&P Global and the Chartered Institute of Procurement and [...]