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Monday, 8th March 2010
Allister Heath
THERE was a rather interesting set of findings in this weekend’s BPIX poll for the Mail on Sunday.
When presented with options about what would make people more likely to vote for a political party,...
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Friday, 5th March 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
THANKS to Britain’s spiralling budget deficit and out-of-control national debt, the link between taxation and spending has been broken, with large numbers of voters tricked into believing that ever...
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Thursday, 4th March 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
IT is often forgotten that Britain has defaulted on its national debt in the past. The Great Conversion of 1932, after another economic and financial crisis, was a humiliating moment for what was...
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Wednesday, 3rd March 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
IF you want to understand why so many people have now become so downbeat about the prospects for the UK, look no further than yesterday’s survey of the Hundred Group of FTSE 100 finance directors....
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Tuesday, 2nd March 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
WHETHER or not Prudential is overpaying for AIG’s Asian operations remains to be seen. Shareholders, spooked by the prospect of Britain’s biggest-ever rights issue, sent the Pru’s share price...
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Monday, 1st March 2010
Allister Heath
WHEN the times get tough, everyone turns to old favourites. This is especially true of investors, hence the renewed interest in two of the greatest names in finance. Anthony Bolton, Britain’s stock-...
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Friday, 26th February 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
ENERGY prices are too high in Britain, even after the recent cuts in gas prices. But those tempted to join in the populist rage at British Gas-owner Centrica’s results yesterday – UK profits hit a...
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Thursday, 25th February 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
FOR once, some good news. The City has become slightly more optimistic about the size of the budget deficit. The consensus view is that it will hit around £171bn for 2009-10; remarkably, this is...
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Wednesday, 24th February 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
Q. What do quantitative easing and super-hero comic books have in common? A. Quite a lot.
Cheap money from central bank asset purchases and ultra-low interest rates is helping to reinflate bubbles...
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Tuesday, 23rd February 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
WHAT a shame British Airways’ cabin crew has voted to strike. Willie Walsh, the firm’s chief, is doing a good job in extremely tough conditions to take out costs and ensure the airline will still be...
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Monday, 22nd February 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
SLOWLY but surely, some economists are beginning to piece together the real causes of the crisis. And as you might imagine, their findings are strikingly at odds with the conventional explanations,...
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Friday, 19th February 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
BEATLEMANIA is back – or at least that is what it is starting to feel like when one reads the endless coverage of the proposed sale of the Abbey Road studios by EMI, Guy Hands’ troubled music giant....
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Thursday, 18th February 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
THERE is a simple reason why unemployment in Britain, while tragically elevated, has remained under control despite the recession: private sector workers have been on a pay freeze for well over a...
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Wednesday, 17th February 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
THERE is one, overwhelming reason why interest rates are going up on products such as credit cards, even though the Bank of England’s base rate remains very low. It has nothing to do with greed,...
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Tuesday, 16th February 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
IT is astonishing how short our collective memories have become. It was once well-known that Greece, Italy and other countries had used dodgy tricks to embellish their public finances prior to the...
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Monday, 15th February 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
BRITAIN has been spending more than it earns for years now, which is why the government and individuals alike are crumbling under a huge burden of debt. Two kinds of policies are needed to get us out...
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Friday, 12th February 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
HOW predictable. Yesterday’s supposed bail-out of Greece was short on details and long on feel-good verbiage, as the City soon came to understand. And even if a loan guarantee from EU countries does...
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Thursday, 11th February 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
THERE are two policies the British government must pursue over the looming bail-out of Greece and other weaker Eurozone countries, a move which looks increasingly likely and which will be debated in...
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Wednesday, 10th February 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
IT is now clear that Germany, the European Central Bank and others are seriously talking about bailing out Greece. The negotiations could still collapse; but there has been a significant shift over...
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Tuesday, 9th February 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
HISTORY is repeating itself – and much more quickly than we seem to realise. The consensus view appears to be that Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain – the PIGS – will by hook or by crook be given a...
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Monday, 8th February 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
HERE is an intriguing question which says a lot about modern America but which everybody here in London always gets wrong. Which US state is home to most big companies? New York, surely, host to...
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Friday, 5th February 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
THERE is a crucial yet often over-looked difference between the mounting fears over the solvency of Greece, Portugal and Spain and worries about Britain’s debt mountain. All four countries are...
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Thursday, 4th February 2010
Allister Heath
WE simply don’t realise how painful the next few years are going to be – that, in a nutshell, was the message grim-faced analysts from the Institute for Fiscal Studies delivered yesterday. The...
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Wednesday, 3rd February 2010
Allister Heath
IT should have been an important moment, the day the Tories unveiled their masterplan to sort out the economy. So it was with some trepidation that I turned to George Osborne’s 23-page document,...
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Tuesday, 2nd February 2010
Allister Heath
ONE of the most important pieces of data is also one of the hardest to understand. Working out how much money is circulating at any one time in the economy is the Holy Grail of macroeconomics; those...
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Monday, 1st February 2010
Allister Heath
MORE evidence of a growing public-private divide: 57 per cent of extra UK jobs created during 1997-2007 were either officially on the government’s payrolls or “para-state” – technically private but...
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Friday, 29th January 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
THERE has long been a huge gap in Britain between London and the South East and the rest of the country. The former is powered by private sector growth; the latter depends ever-more on the public...
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Thursday, 28th January 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
WHY isn’t there a British Apple? The sight of Steve Jobs standing up again on stage last night to unveil yet another blockbuster – this time, the iPad – is a stark reminder of how bad we have become...
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Wednesday, 27th January 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
“THE UK is a must to avoid. Its gilts are resting on a bed of nitroglycerine.” So says Pimco’s Bill Gross – and given yesterday’s pathetic 0.1 per cent fourth quarter growth, he is clearly right.
It...
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Tuesday, 26th January 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
REGULAR readers of this column will know that I am no fan of many of the proposals being cooked up to reform the banks. I have opposed Barack Obama’s plan to ban retail banks from engaging in...
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Monday, 25th January 2010
Allister Heath
SPEAKING to this newspaper last night, Lord Myners, the City minister, points out that banks’ proprietary trading and investments in hedge funds and private equity were “in no way central” to the...
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Friday, 22nd January 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
HOW predictable. No sooner was Barack Obama humiliated by the Massachusetts electorate earlier this week – his left-wing candidate lost Ted Kennedy’s ultra safe seat to a radical conservative – than...
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Thursday, 21st January 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
THERE are two, diametrically opposed ways to respond to the immense challenges posed by globalisation and the rise of the emerging markets.
The first – and right way – is that followed by much of...
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Wednesday, 20th January 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
BRITAIN has a credibility problem – and no, I’m not only talking about the government’s hypocritical and self-serving protectionist rhetoric on Cadbury. Yesterday’s inflation figures were even more...
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Tuesday, 19th January 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
IT is a great shame that Cadbury’s management has succumbed so easily to Kraft’s advances. Ever since I can remember, the British confectioner had been stalked by predators; yet for years it defied...
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Monday, 18th January 2010
Allister Heath
THERE have now been dozens of books and thousands of research papers on the causes of the crisis yet we are no nearer to a consensus. But there is one factor on which virtually all US analysts agree...
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Friday, 15th January 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
IT is clear that Barack Obama’s latest scheme to tax the banks, just like Gordon Brown’s own super-tax, will go down well with the electorate. But both will do little to make the economy more stable...
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Thursday, 14th January 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
GOOD on Google. The tech giant now seems almost certain to pull out of China in an astonishing blaze of publicity. It takes real guts to thumb one’s nose at a country of 1.3bn potential consumers; it...
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Wednesday, 13th January 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
NAPOLEON Bonaparte was right: Britain is a nation of shopkeepers. Tesco’s great figures yesterday confirm that the retailer remains one of the UK’s few truly world-class corporate giants. Group sales...
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Tuesday, 12th January 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
AT least three times since the 1960s, the City has been saved by the stupidity of others. London’s economic prominence is partly home-grown, of course, not least thanks to the free-market reforms of...
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Monday, 11th January 2010
Allister Heath
BELIEVE it or not but many forecasters are becoming more upbeat about Britain’s prospects for the coming year. HSBC, whose predictions are always cautious, is expecting growth of 2.2 per cent, much...
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Friday, 8th January 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
IT’S all rather sad. While we count the laughably high costs of a little snow, obsess about minor policy differences in?Westminster and argue over whether our economic performance in 2010 will be...
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Thursday, 7th January 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
HOW incompetent can you be? If the Labour Party had any sense, it would remove Gordon Brown as soon as possible; all the polls show that Labour would gain at least some ground with any half-decent...
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Thursday, 7th January 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
HOW incompetent can you be? If the Labour Party had any sense, it would remove Gordon Brown as soon as possible; all the polls show that Labour would gain at least some ground with any half-decent...
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Wednesday, 6th January 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
SOMEONE should give Gordon Brown a copy of John Maynard Keynes’ The Economic Consequences of the Peace. Published in 1919, it addressed post-war Germany – but the book is uncannily relevant to the...
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Tuesday, 5th January 2010
ALLISTER HEATH
EVERYBODY knows that financial services have been the hardest hit sector during the recession, right? Wrong. Manufacturing has been by far a greater drag on UK plc than services, including finance;...
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Monday, 4th January 2010
IT is hard to believe that just three years ago the UK economy was still being lauded as a great success story; our fall from grace has been spectacular. In 2007, London was overtaking New York as...
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Friday, 18th December 2009
ALLISTER HEATH
ONE of the great paradoxes of 2009 was that economic meltdown went hand in hand with strong gains for many investors. After a disastrous few months when everybody was pricing in the end of...
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Thursday, 17th December 2009
ALLISTER HEATH
THERE will be so many challenges confronting the British economy next year that it is hard to know where to start. The last remaining hard-core bulls, who still believe in a v-shaped recovery, will...
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Wednesday, 16th December 2009
Allister Heath
CAPITALISM only really works when success is rewarded and failure punished. So as the New Year approaches, here is a radical suggestion: let us usher in a new era of personal responsibility. Let 2010...
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Tuesday, 15th December 2009
Allister Heath
WHAT a tragic outcome at British Airways. The airline’s management is hardly perfect but it is almost unbelievable that BA’s staff have chosen to walk out like this. The strike – supported by an...
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Monday, 14th December 2009
Allister Heath
In 1733, Voltaire, one of France’s greatest thinkers, wrote a series of letters on the English nation, describing some of the extraordinary going-ons he had discovered during his exile to this...
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