CHAMPIONS Italy have played nothing like their title suggests at this tournament and they are very lucky that they are still in with a decent chance of qualifying from Group F.
Marcello Lippi’s side have lacked ideas but with Paraguay likely to beat New Zealand in the other game, a draw could feasibly be enough for the Azzurri to progress to the second round, where they would be likely to meet Holland.
Slovakia have had a pretty poor tournament, drawing with New Zealand in their opener and then being comfortably beaten 2-0 by Paraguay last time. They would have to win this and hope Paraguay beat New Zealand to have any chance of qualifying.
Goals have been a problem for the Italians in recent seasons and I wouldn’t expect them
to win any game at this World Cup comfortably. However, they should have too much firepower for the Slovaks and are worth backing at 4/7 with Paddy Power to arrest the slide of the poor performing favourites at this year’s tournament. I was initially interested in the HT draw / FT Italy result, but 10/3 is just too skinny for me.
The correct score market is always difficult to predict, but I can see this being a tight, nervy encounter and there is a little value in backing the 1-0 Italy win at 5/1 on Betdaq. It doesn’t look like being a thriller by any stretch of the imagination, so spread bettors should also look to sell Sporting Index’s goals prediction at 2.5.
Italy to win at 4/7 with Paddy Power
Italy to win 1-0 at 5/1 on Betdaq
Sell total match goals at 2.5 with Sporting Index