Horse racing betting tips: Plump for O’Brien’s Roly Poly in Falmouth

Bill Esdaile
Follow Bill
Newmarket Races
Aidan O'Brien has won 30 of the 36 UK Group One races and his dominance continues to grow (Source: Getty)

REMARKABLY, Aidan O’Brien had never won the Falmouth Stakes (3.35pm) until Alice Springs smashed the July course track record at Newmarket 12 months ago.

O’Brien has now won 30 of the 36 top-level contests on offer in the UK and his dominance of the sport keeps on growing.

However, the Irish handler faced some stiff opposition at Royal Ascot from a resurgent Godolphin operation, with the boys in blue equalling Coolmore’s six winners for the week.

They again look to be the main challenger to O’Brien in today’s battle of the fillies, with Wuheida carrying the famous royal blue silks.

The unbeaten daughter of Dubawi won a maiden over seven furlongs at this track before staying on strongly to land the Group One Prix Marcel Boussac over a mile at Chantilly.

An unbeaten Group One winner has to be respected, and she could well be the best in the field, but she’s been injured and off the track since that win in France and may just need this.

Her price reflects that at around the 7/2 mark, and there seems to be more confidence behind O’Brien landing back-to-back wins here with ROLY POLY at 2/1 with 188BET.

Second to classy stablemate Winter in both the Irish 1,000 Guineas and the Coronation Stakes, Roly Poly won’t have to play second fiddle today and can get her nose back in front.

Even though she’s not won since last season, landing the Cherry Hinton at this meeting 12 months ago, the form behind Winter is rock solid and she’s likely to be fitter than her main rival.

Wuheida has been off the track for 285 days and it’s very hard to know exactly what to expect.

Sea Of Grace, second in Group One company at Deauville last time out, also makes the shortlist.

Although the form of that race in France is yet to work out, she could still be improving and is bred to get every inch of today’s trip.

It could pay to switch your attention away from Newmarket and over to Ascot today.

JUANITO CHICO, who landed a winning tip in this paper during the Investec Derby Festival at Epsom, lines up in the one-mile handicap (5.10pm) and can be backed at around the 4/1 mark.

After landing the money at Epsom, I followed him at Newmarket just eight days later but that race came a little too soon and he could only manage fourth.

He’s had a nice break since and now steps up to a mile which looks sure to suit.

There’s a good card up on the Knavesmire at York too, with the Group Three Summer Stakes (3.15pm) the feature.

William Haggas is into double figures for July winners already and I think he can add to that tally with GRAVITY FLOW.

The daughter of Exceed and Excel looked a very speedy filly last season, winning four of her seven starts, before disappointing on her reappearance at Haydock in May.

Despite going off a well-backed 7/4 favourite, she raced keenly on the front end before running out of steam in the closing stages.

I’m happy to put a line thought that and keep the faith with a filly that looked up to winning a Group contest last season.


Gravity Flow 3.15pm York

Roly Poly 3.35pm Newmarket

Juanito Chico 5.10pm Ascot

City A.M.'s opinion pages are a place for thought-provoking views and debate. These views are not necessarily shared by City A.M.

Related articles