AIDAN O’Brien, with seven wins, is the most successful trainer in the history of the Group One St James’s Palace Stakes (4.20pm) and he will be expecting to make it eight this afternoon.
Churchill has always been the apple of his eye. After suffering a defeat on debut in a Curragh maiden in May 2016, the son of Galileo has won his last seven starts.
His two outings so far this campaign have brought home the English and Irish 2000 Guineas, so this race was the logical next step.
The problem is he is 8/13 with 188BET and we’re not going to get rich backing him.
Barney Roy is a more attractive price at 5/2. Considering he didn’t handle the dip whatsoever at Newmarket, it’s to his credit that he was only beaten a length by Churchill.
Ascot will suit him much better, but Churchill improved at the Curragh and he simply looks very hard to beat.
I can’t see anything else finishing in the first two places but the race for third is going to be interesting.
I’m not convinced by Thunder Snow, while things are likely to happen too quickly for Rivet, so it could be the O’Brien second string LANCASTER BOMBER who sneaks into the places.
He ran an excellent race to be fourth at Newmarket, only reeled in late on.
The ground was too soft for him in the Irish Guineas and he is a decent bet without the first two in the market.
The Coventry Stakes (3.05pm) looks wide open this year, but I’m going to back Richard Hannon’s DENAAR at 7/1 with 188BET.
There are plenty of comparisons with last year’s runner-up Mehmas and he may be able to go one better.
Denaar e/w 3.05pm Royal Ascot
Lancaster Bomber (w/o Churchill and Barney Roy) 4.20pm Royal Ascot