Final pre-election poll results come in: Conservatives take 12 point lead in ICM's last poll ahead of the General Election

 
Rebecca Smith
Polls have varied on predictions for this election
Polls have varied on predictions for this election (Source: Getty)

The last batch of pre-election polls are rolling in tonight, with ICM's calling the Conservatives taking a 12 point lead over Labour, which would deliver a comfortable win for the Tories.

Polling firm ICM, which has tended to give the Conservatives greater leads than most other polling companies, said Theresa May had upped her lead by one percentage point in today's preliminary poll for the Guardian, from its previous one published on Monday.

Read more: Tories will grow majority, according to one of the final pre-election polls

Support for Conservatives stood at 46 per cent, while Labour support remained unchanged at 34 per cent. A lead of that size would deliver May a majority of 96 seats in parliament, a steep increase on the working majority of 17 that the Conservatives held in the last parliament.

The ICM poll of 1,532 adults was conducted between 6 and 7 June.

May called the snap election in April in an effort to bolster her majority and strengthen her hand for Brexit negotiations.

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Another poll conducted by ComRes for the Independent between 5 and 7 June has the Conservatives down three points on 44 per cent, Labour down one at 34 per cent and the Liberal Democrats, Ukip and the Green Party up one per cent each to nine per cent, five per cent and two per cent respectively.

That too would deliver Theresa May with a definitive victory over Jeremy Corbyn in tomorrow's General Election.

In a second projection from ComRes, reallocating "don't know" voters on the basis of preferred Prime Minister, the Conservative lead rises to 12 points on 46 per cent, compared with Labour's 34 per cent.

YouGov's last pre-election poll for the Times gives the Tories a seven point lead on 42 per cent, Labour on 35 per cent, Lib Dems up one on 10 and Ukip up one on five.

YouGov said that while the lead is the same as the previous election, "we think it is likely they will nevertheless be returned with an increased majority".

Meanwhile, Kantar Public's last assessment of expressed voting intentions is calling the Conservatives unchanged and taking a 43 per cent share of the vote, with Labour up five points at 38, the Liberal Democrats down four on seven as Ukip stays on four. That has the Conservative lead halving from its last poll.

If this held true, it would mean a formal majority of 32 for May, a slight boost on the Conservatives' majority in the last parliament.

Several other opinion polls are set to be published tonight to provide the last gauge of public sentiment before people vote tomorrow.

During the campaign period, polls have varied widely on how many seats the Conservatives are set to win. Most polling firms have switched up their modelling methods after the surprise result of 2015.

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