General Election 2017: What is the weather forecast and how will it affect the outcome on polling day?

 
Caitlin Morrison
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Polling Stations Open For The General Election
Will you be braving the rain to cast your vote? (Source: Getty)

As voters head to the polls, and with just hours till we find out who the next Prime Minister will be - the weather has taken a turn for the worse.

Heavy outbreaks of rain was forecast for election day early in the week– and those showers have not disappointed. So what effect, if any, will this have on the results?

It could make quite a big difference to the vote, as a matter of fact.

Labour has made gains in the polls over recent weeks, to the point that it's starting to look like the Tories may not win enough seats for an overall majority.

However, Jeremy Corbyn's party is reliant on a large turnout, particularly among younger voters, who overwhelmingly favour Labour over the Conservatives.

Figures compiled by FTI Consulting suggest Labour’s backers are less likely to show up on polling day.

The data shows that while 93 per cent of Conservative voters interviewed by FTI said they would definitely vote, just 88 per cent said the same for Labour. And if the weather is bad on Thursday, people are even less likely to head to the polls.

City AM Will the weather change your mind about voting?

Low turnout does not necessarily mean Labour will sustain heavy losses. In 2001, Labour won in a landslide with turnout at an 80-year low, and in 2005, Labour won a majority on 61.3 per cent turnout

Meanwhile, in 2015, turnout was 66.1 per cent and Labour lost to the Conservatives, with the party almost wiped out in Scotland.

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