Is it realistic for the Conservatives to say that the party might lose the General Election?

General Election - Economy
Tories have been playing down their chances of victory (Source: Getty)

Alex Deane, a Conservative commentator, says Yes.

Every election is a risk: this is why the Prime Minister, a cautious and canny politician, didn’t call one sooner. Events can derail the most careful of plans.

Jeremy Corbyn is easily underestimated. The twice-affirmed leader of his party is not without support in the country. He plays to a part of the electorate not normally polled and not particularly visible on the radars of our cultural and media elites. Does this sound familiar?

In an era in which Brexit and Donald Trump both surprised the pundits, it is demonstrably foolish to write off the other possibility in a binary contest. Of course it looks like 8 June will be great news for the Tories, and for those who want our Prime Minister returned with a handsome majority and a new mandate to robustly negotiate our Brexit settlement.

But overconfidence can kill campaigns: just ask Neil Kinnock about his Sheffield rally. We must act as if the election is close, even if it isn’t.

Rupert Myers, a barrister, writer and associate fellow of Bright Blue, says No.

Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour party lacks the plans, the funding, or the team to effectively fight this election. However well Tim Farron’s Liberal Democrats or the other smaller parties do, they won’t realistically challenge for power.

Many comparisons will be made between this snap General Election and the unpredictable results in the Brexit referendum or the Trump election, but just because Conservative failure is technically possible, it is not particularly realistic.

This election will come down to a question about who the voters trust to lead them through Brexit, and Theresa May’s performance as Prime Minister has been assured. There will be wobbles and dramas, but come election day, the Conservatives will triumph against the weakest, most shambolic Labour party in decades.

It’s nuclear subs without missiles, socialist policies, and “friends” in Hezbollah versus quiet competence: no real contest at all.

City A.M.'s opinion pages are a place for thought-provoking views and debate. These views are not necessarily shared by City A.M.

Related articles