Traders will price up a huge number of scenarios. For example, the time of England’s first try tomorrow is priced at 36-39. If you expect the likes of Johnny May to make another fast start at Twickenham – he went over after just four minutes against the All Blacks last Saturday – then you would sell at 36.
If May or one of his teammates scored a try after the 12th minute against the Springboks, for example, this market would make up 24. If the visitors held out until the 54th minute before England scored a try, then sellers at 36 would make a loss of 18 times their stake.
The time of the first match try, trading at 23-26, is an alternative to consider.
Punters expecting a war of attrition in wet conditions may want to sell total match tries at 3.4. To make a profit you would need under four tries. On the other hand, if bettors anticipated an open end-to-game clash, then buying total tries at 3.9 could appeal. You’d need four tries to make a very slender profit.